Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 4@Anaheim Ducks 3
TBL · ANA
CF%?
48.3%·51.7%
xGF%?
50.8%·49.2%
HDCF%?
58.3%·41.7%
5v5 xGF%?
48.7%·51.3%
5v5 CF%?
46.7%·53.3%
?
ANA wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 56%Deserved to win?44% ANA
the game's chances, replayed · 3.09 xG vs 2.79 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelTBL 4@ANA 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 3A · 0.31 ixG · 1 blk93
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDarren RaddyshTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.33 ixG85
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMason McTavishANA · 1G · 0.48 ixG · 2 blk73TBL
1
Brandon Hagel932
Darren Raddysh853
Anthony Cirelli714
J.J. Moser705
Brayden Point676
Nikita Kucherov627
Charle-Edouard D'Astous618
Max Crozier609
Jake Guentzel5810
Zemgus Girgensons5411
Pontus Holmberg5312
Drew Helleson5313
Erik Cernak5214
Yanni Gourde5115
Nick Paul5016
Oliver Bjorkstrand5017
Gage Goncalves4918
Declan Carlile4619
Dominic James45
Brandon Hagel932
Darren Raddysh853
Anthony Cirelli714
J.J. Moser705
Brayden Point676
Nikita Kucherov627
Charle-Edouard D'Astous618
Max Crozier609
Jake Guentzel5810
Zemgus Girgensons5411
Pontus Holmberg5312
Drew Helleson5313
Erik Cernak5214
Yanni Gourde5115
Nick Paul5016
Oliver Bjorkstrand5017
Gage Goncalves4918
Declan Carlile4619
Dominic James45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (7) | 1 (9) | 1 (10) | 1 (3) | 4 |
| ANA | 0 (6) | 1 (7) | 2 (14) | 0 (1) | 3 |
| TBL | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 19 | Hits | 13 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 22 |
| 21 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| TBL | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.96 | Expected goals | 4.81 |
| 3.27 | 5v5 xG | 3.44 |
| 0.74 | Power-play xG | 0.90 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 29 | On goal | 28 |
| 21 | High-danger | 15 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 12 | Missed | 17 |
| 16 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.087 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG86 of 118 attempts shown

















