HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

San Jose Sharks 5@Anaheim Ducks 4

2025-12-29
SJS · ANA

CF%?

30.0%·70.0%

xGF%?

34.0%·66.0%

HDCF%?

34.0%·66.0%

5v5 xGF%?

34.4%·65.6%

5v5 CF%?

33.0%·67.0%

?
ANA wins ↑SJS wins ↓
SJS 8%Deserved to win?92% ANA

the game's chances, replayed · 1.65 xG vs 4.78 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

SJS 5@ANA 4

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-12-29 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickTroy TerryANA · 2G · 1A · 0.40 ixG88★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMacklin CelebriniSJS · 1G · 2A · 0.23 ixG87★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCutter GauthierANA · 1G · 1A · 0.72 ixG86

SJS

1Macklin Celebrini872Alexander Wennberg793Zack Ostapchuk664William Eklund645Igor Chernyshov636Mario Ferraro627Vincent Iorio628Tyler Toffoli609Barclay Goodrow6010Adam Gaudette5611Ty Dellandrea5512Sam Dickinson5213Jeff Skinner5014Dmitry Orlov5015Ryan Reaves4916Collin Graf4917John Klingberg4018Shakir Mukhamadullin40

Goalies

1Yaroslav Askarov69

ANA

1Troy Terry882Cutter Gauthier863Mason McTavish834Pavel Mintyukov735Nikita Nesterenko686Jackson LaCombe667Ian Moore648Ryan Poehling639Chris Kreider6110Beckett Sennecke6011Jacob Trouba5612Jansen Harkins5613Leo Carlsson5614Drew Helleson5515Ryan Strome5416Mikael Granlund5317Alex Killorn5318Olen Zellweger50

Goalies

1Petr Mrazek462Lukas Dostal40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

10:43SJS

Mario Ferraro from Alexander Wennberg, Adam Gaudette

15:02ANA

Troy Terry from Nikita Nesterenko

19:12SJS

Macklin Celebrini from Alexander Wennberg, Tyler Toffoli

Period 2

6:30SJS

Igor Chernyshov from Macklin Celebrini, Sam Dickinson

12:17SJS

William Eklund from Macklin Celebrini

16:26ANA

Cutter Gauthier from Troy Terry, Ryan Poehling

Period 3

3:07ANA

Pavel Mintyukov from Cutter Gauthier, Ian Moore

13:47SJS

Zack Ostapchuk from Vincent Iorio, Barclay Goodrow

15:58ANA

Troy Terry from Mason McTavish, Jackson LaCombe

PP
Goals (SOG)123T
SJS2 (7)2 (3)1 (3)5
ANA1 (14)1 (14)2 (14)4
SJSANA
0/2Power play1/3
17Hits18
13Blocked shots21
4Takeaways7
18Giveaways17
26Faceoff wins32
SJSANA
5Goals4
3.60Expected goals6.98
2.635v5 xG5.01
0.24Power-play xG1.94
36Shot attempts84
13On goal42
16High-danger31
1Rebound chances7
10Missed21
13Blocked21
0.100xG per attempt0.083
27 ftAvg shot distance28 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

SJS attackingANA attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG86 of 120 attempts shown