Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Nashville Predators 4@Utah Mammoth 3
NSH · UTA
CF%?
42.5%·57.5%
xGF%?
41.8%·58.2%
HDCF%?
29.0%·71.0%
5v5 xGF%?
37.0%·63.0%
5v5 CF%?
41.2%·58.8%
?
UTA wins ↑NSH wins ↓
NSH 22%Deserved to win?78% UTA
the game's chances, replayed · 2.16 xG vs 3.85 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelNSH 4@UTA 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-29 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSteven StamkosNSH · 2G · 1A · 0.43 ixG89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDylan GuentherUTA · 1G · 1A · 0.48 ixG83
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBarrett HaytonUTA · 1A · 0.48 ixG · 1 gv73NSH
1
Steven Stamkos892
Ryan O'Reilly723
Luke Evangelista704
Roman Josi655
Michael McCarron626
Filip Forsberg617
Erik Haula598
Tyson Jost589
Fedor Svechkov5710
Nick Blankenburg5711
Nick Perbix5612
Michael Bunting5413
Adam Wilsby5214
Matthew Wood5215
Reid Schaefer5016
Cole Smith4917
Brady Skjei4818
Nicolas Hague47
Steven Stamkos892
Ryan O'Reilly723
Luke Evangelista704
Roman Josi655
Michael McCarron626
Filip Forsberg617
Erik Haula598
Tyson Jost589
Fedor Svechkov5710
Nick Blankenburg5711
Nick Perbix5612
Michael Bunting5413
Adam Wilsby5214
Matthew Wood5215
Reid Schaefer5016
Cole Smith4917
Brady Skjei4818
Nicolas Hague47Goalies
UTA
1
Dylan Guenther832
Barrett Hayton733
Nick Schmaltz714
Sean Durzi685
Lawson Crouse686
Mikhail Sergachev677
JJ Peterka648
Jack McBain639
Clayton Keller6310
Nate Schmidt5711
Ian Cole5612
Alexander Kerfoot5513
Daniil But5414
Liam O'Brien5315
Nick DeSimone5316
Michael Carcone5317
Kevin Stenlund5118
John Marino46
Dylan Guenther832
Barrett Hayton733
Nick Schmaltz714
Sean Durzi685
Lawson Crouse686
Mikhail Sergachev677
JJ Peterka648
Jack McBain639
Clayton Keller6310
Nate Schmidt5711
Ian Cole5612
Alexander Kerfoot5513
Daniil But5414
Liam O'Brien5315
Nick DeSimone5316
Michael Carcone5317
Kevin Stenlund5118
John Marino46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 1 (7) | 1 (9) | 2 (10) | 4 |
| UTA | 1 (11) | 1 (10) | 1 (10) | 3 |
| NSH | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 16 | Hits | 16 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 37 |
| NSH | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.87 | Expected goals | 5.40 |
| 2.25 | 5v5 xG | 3.83 |
| 1.03 | Power-play xG | 1.56 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 73 |
| 26 | On goal | 31 |
| 9 | High-danger | 22 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 11 | Missed | 21 |
| 17 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.072 | xG per attempt | 0.074 |
| 35 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 127 attempts shown

