Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 4@Florida Panthers 2
2025-12-27TBL · FLA
CF%?
40.4%·59.6%
xGF%?
44.2%·55.8%
HDCF%?
38.9%·61.1%
5v5 xGF%?
53.5%·46.5%
5v5 CF%?
47.6%·52.4%
?
FLA wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 27%Deserved to win?73% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 2.38 xG vs 3.72 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 4@FLA 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-27 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 2G · 1.19 ixG · 2 gv87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 2A · 0.07 ixG · 1 blk86
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickEetu LuostarinenFLA · 1G · 0.72 ixG · 1 tk81TBL
1Nikita Kucherov872Anthony Cirelli863
Jake Guentzel724
Pontus Holmberg705
Yanni Gourde686
Max Crozier687
Brayden Point668
Darren Raddysh639
Declan Carlile6010
Nick Paul5911
Gage Goncalves5612
Oliver Bjorkstrand5513
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5214
J.J. Moser5215
Zemgus Girgensons5116
Steven Santini4817
Curtis Douglas4718
Scott Sabourin43
Nikita Kucherov872Anthony Cirelli863Jake Guentzel724Pontus Holmberg705Yanni Gourde686Max Crozier687Brayden Point668Darren Raddysh639Declan Carlile6010Nick Paul5911Gage Goncalves5612Oliver Bjorkstrand5513Charle-Edouard D'Astous5214J.J. Moser5215Zemgus Girgensons5116Steven Santini4817Curtis Douglas4718Scott Sabourin43Goalies
FLA
1Eetu Luostarinen812
Sam Reinhart683
Evan Rodrigues654
Brad Marchand615
Mackie Samoskevich616
Sam Bennett607
Niko Mikkola578
Jesper Boqvist569
Luke Kunin5610
A.J. Greer5511
Jack Studnicka5412
Jeff Petry5413
Seth Jones5214
Anton Lundell5215
Uvis Balinskis5216
Gustav Forsling5017
Carter Verhaeghe4918
Aaron Ekblad48
Eetu Luostarinen812Sam Reinhart683Evan Rodrigues654Brad Marchand615Mackie Samoskevich616Sam Bennett607Niko Mikkola578Jesper Boqvist569Luke Kunin5610A.J. Greer5511Jack Studnicka5412Jeff Petry5413Seth Jones5214Anton Lundell5215Uvis Balinskis5216Gustav Forsling5017Carter Verhaeghe4918Aaron Ekblad48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 2 (12) | 1 (8) | 1 (5) | 4 |
| FLA | 1 (5) | 1 (8) | 0 (13) | 2 |
| TBL | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/18 | Power play | 1/22 |
| 32 | Hits | 27 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 24 | Faceoff wins | 26 |
| TBL | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.35 | Expected goals | 5.49 |
| 2.29 | 5v5 xG | 1.99 |
| 0.77 | Power-play xG | 3.19 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 65 |
| 25 | On goal | 26 |
| 14 | High-danger | 22 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 9 | Missed | 21 |
| 10 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.099 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 109 attempts shown