Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 5@Toronto Maple Leafs 7
2025-12-27OTT · TOR
CF%?
56.3%·43.8%
xGF%?
46.6%·53.4%
HDCF%?
47.2%·52.8%
5v5 xGF%?
53.8%·46.2%
5v5 CF%?
54.0%·46.0%
?
TOR wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 65%Deserved to win?35% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.56 xG vs 2.71 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
OTT 5@TOR 7
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-27 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 1G · 2A · 1.85 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMatthew KniesTOR · 2G · 1A · 0.53 ixG92
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJordan SpenceOTT · 1G · 1A · 0.23 ixG83OTT
1Jordan Spence832
Claude Giroux753
Tim Stützle724
Nick Cousins705
Dylan Cozens696
Drake Batherson697
Stephen Halliday678
Brady Tkachuk659
Ridly Greig6510
Fabian Zetterlund6511
David Perron5912
Xavier Bourgault5513
Thomas Chabot5414
Nikolas Matinpalo5115
Michael Amadio4716
Artem Zub4717
Jake Sanderson4518
Nick Jensen43
Jordan Spence832Claude Giroux753Tim Stützle724Nick Cousins705Dylan Cozens696Drake Batherson697Stephen Halliday678Brady Tkachuk659Ridly Greig6510Fabian Zetterlund6511David Perron5912Xavier Bourgault5513Thomas Chabot5414Nikolas Matinpalo5115Michael Amadio4716Artem Zub4717Jake Sanderson4518Nick Jensen43Goalies
TOR
1Auston Matthews992Matthew Knies923
Max Domi824
Nicholas Robertson705
William Nylander686
Matias Maccelli677
John Tavares678
Bobby McMann669
Jake McCabe5910
Nicolas Roy5911
Morgan Rielly5812
Dakota Joshua5813
Scott Laughton5214
Steven Lorentz5215
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5116
Philippe Myers5117
Troy Stecher5018
Chris Tanev45
Auston Matthews992Matthew Knies923Max Domi824Nicholas Robertson705William Nylander686Matias Maccelli677John Tavares678Bobby McMann669Jake McCabe5910Nicolas Roy5911Morgan Rielly5812Dakota Joshua5813Scott Laughton5214Steven Lorentz5215Oliver Ekman-Larsson5116Philippe Myers5117Troy Stecher5018Chris Tanev45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1 (9) | 1 (9) | 3 (13) | 5 |
| TOR | 2 (4) | 3 (20) | 2 (9) | 7 |
| OTT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 30 | Hits | 32 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 31 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| OTT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 7 |
| 4.48 | Expected goals | 5.13 |
| 3.23 | 5v5 xG | 2.78 |
| 0.84 | Power-play xG | 0.68 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 49 |
| 31 | On goal | 33 |
| 17 | High-danger | 19 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 23 | Missed | 9 |
| 9 | Blocked | 7 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.105 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG96 of 112 attempts shown