Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Ottawa Senators 2
2025-12-23BUF · OTT
CF%?
39.4%·60.6%
xGF%?
34.0%·66.0%
HDCF%?
34.8%·65.2%
5v5 xGF%?
30.7%·69.3%
5v5 CF%?
37.2%·62.8%
?
OTT wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 20%Deserved to win?80% OTT
the game's chances, replayed · 1.59 xG vs 3.23 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 3@OTT 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-23 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBowen ByramBUF · 2G · 1A · 0.12 ixG84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDrake BathersonOTT · 1A · 0.76 ixG · 2 tk80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 24 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.2973BUF
1Bowen Byram842
Jordan Greenway683
Josh Dunne654
Ryan McLeod625
Alex Tuch596
Noah Ostlund557
Tage Thompson558
Mattias Samuelsson549
Beck Malenstyn5410
Peyton Krebs5211
Jack Quinn5212
Owen Power5213
Josh Doan5214
Josh Norris5115
Rasmus Dahlin4916
Michael Kesselring4917
Zach Benson4818
Zach Metsa45
Bowen Byram842Jordan Greenway683Josh Dunne654Ryan McLeod625Alex Tuch596Noah Ostlund557Tage Thompson558Mattias Samuelsson549Beck Malenstyn5410Peyton Krebs5211Jack Quinn5212Owen Power5213Josh Doan5214Josh Norris5115Rasmus Dahlin4916Michael Kesselring4917Zach Benson4818Zach Metsa45Goalies
OTT
1Drake Batherson802
Dylan Cozens713
Tim Stützle694
Ridly Greig685
Claude Giroux666
Brady Tkachuk647
David Perron608
Fabian Zetterlund609
Thomas Chabot5810
Jordan Spence5411
Artem Zub5312
Stephen Halliday5313
Nick Jensen5314
Michael Amadio5215
Nikolas Matinpalo5216
Jake Sanderson5117
Kurtis MacDermid5018
Nick Cousins49
Drake Batherson802Dylan Cozens713Tim Stützle694Ridly Greig685Claude Giroux666Brady Tkachuk647David Perron608Fabian Zetterlund609Thomas Chabot5810Jordan Spence5411Artem Zub5312Stephen Halliday5313Nick Jensen5314Michael Amadio5215Nikolas Matinpalo5216Jake Sanderson5117Kurtis MacDermid5018Nick Cousins49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (12) | 1 (8) | 0 (4) | 1 (1) | 3 |
| OTT | 1 (11) | 1 (8) | 0 (7) | 0 (0) | 2 |
| BUF | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 15 | Hits | 19 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 36 |
| BUF | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 2.42 | Expected goals | 4.71 |
| 1.56 | 5v5 xG | 3.53 |
| 0.51 | Power-play xG | 1.03 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 25 | On goal | 26 |
| 8 | High-danger | 15 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 7 | Missed | 19 |
| 9 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.059 | xG per attempt | 0.075 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG77 of 104 attempts shown