HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Vegas Golden Knights 3@Edmonton Oilers 4

2025-12-21
VGK · EDM

CF%?

55.3%·44.7%

xGF%?

47.9%·52.1%

HDCF%?

55.9%·44.1%

5v5 xGF%?

48.7%·51.3%

5v5 CF%?

55.3%·44.7%

?
EDM wins ↑VGK wins ↓
VGK 73%Deserved to win?27% EDM

the game's chances, replayed · 3.86 xG vs 2.48 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

VGK 3@EDM 4

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-12-21 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickTomas HertlVGK · 1G · 2A · 1.11 ixG99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · 2G · 1A · 0.30 ixG88★ 3rd star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 1G · 2A · 0.59 ixG87

VGK

1Tomas Hertl992Noah Hanifin813Mitch Marner734Pavel Dorofeyev695Brayden McNabb566Colton Sissons567Brett Howden568Kaedan Korczak559Ivan Barbashev5310Keegan Kolesar5311Ben Hutton5312Reilly Smith5213Cole Reinhardt5214Mark Stone5115Brandon Saad5116Zach Whitecloud5017Jeremy Lauzon4818Braeden Bowman4819Mattias Ekholm46

Goalies

1Carter Hart40

EDM

1Ryan Nugent-Hopkins882Connor McDavid873Zach Hyman784Leon Draisaitl725Darnell Nurse656Curtis Lazar577Max Jones568Vasily Podkolzin559Adam Henrique5410Evan Bouchard5311Mattias Janmark5312Matt Savoie5113Alec Regula5014Spencer Stastney5015Jack Roslovic5016Ty Emberson4817Andrew Mangiapane46

Goalies

1Connor Ingram67
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

9:11EDM

Connor McDavid from Leon Draisaitl, Alec Regula

14:37EDM

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins from Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid

PP

Period 2

2:22EDM

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins from Connor McDavid, Zach Hyman

PP
7:45EDM

Zach Hyman from Darnell Nurse, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

12:59VGK

Tomas Hertl from Mitch Marner, Noah Hanifin

PP

Period 3

3:52VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Tomas Hertl, Noah Hanifin

PP
5:49VGK

Mitch Marner from Tomas Hertl, Noah Hanifin

Goals (SOG)123T
VGK0 (8)1 (10)2 (13)3
EDM2 (12)2 (6)0 (3)4
VGKEDM
2/5Power play2/3
32Hits24
17Blocked shots14
4Takeaways2
17Giveaways22
29Faceoff wins25
VGKEDM
3Goals4
5.30Expected goals5.76
2.485v5 xG2.62
2.82Power-play xG1.14
63Shot attempts51
31On goal21
19High-danger15
3Rebound chances3
15Missed16
17Blocked14
0.084xG per attempt0.113
30 ftAvg shot distance30 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

VGK attackingEDM attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG83 of 114 attempts shown