Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Colorado Avalanche 3@Nashville Predators 4
2025-12-09COL · NSH
CF%?
61.2%·38.8%
xGF%?
58.6%·41.4%
HDCF%?
53.8%·46.2%
5v5 xGF%?
60.0%·40.0%
5v5 CF%?
60.2%·39.8%
?
NSH wins ↑COL wins ↓
COL 55%Deserved to win?45% NSH
the game's chances, replayed · 3.60 xG vs 3.33 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
COL 3@NSH 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-09 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJuuse SarosNSH · 39 sv · 3 GA · GSAx +1.2077
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMartin NecasCOL · 2A · 0.18 ixG · 1 tk77
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCale MakarCOL · 1G · 0.28 ixG · 2 blk76COL
1Martin Necas772Cale Makar763
Brock Nelson734
Nathan MacKinnon725
Artturi Lehkonen716
Gabriel Landeskog637
Josh Manson628
Brent Burns589
Devon Toews5710
Victor Olofsson5711
Parker Kelly5612
Joel Kiviranta5613
Ross Colton5414
Zakhar Bardakov5315
Jack Drury5216
Sam Malinski5217
Samuel Girard4918
Valeri Nichushkin47
Martin Necas772Cale Makar763Brock Nelson734Nathan MacKinnon725Artturi Lehkonen716Gabriel Landeskog637Josh Manson628Brent Burns589Devon Toews5710Victor Olofsson5711Parker Kelly5612Joel Kiviranta5613Ross Colton5414Zakhar Bardakov5315Jack Drury5216Sam Malinski5217Samuel Girard4918Valeri Nichushkin47Goalies
NSH
1
Luke Evangelista722
Adam Wilsby683
Ryan O'Reilly664
Brady Skjei665
Steven Stamkos656
Reid Schaefer637
Fedor Svechkov638
Filip Forsberg589
Jonathan Marchessault5610
Michael McCarron5611
Michael Bunting5312
Spencer Stastney5113
Nick Blankenburg4914
Nick Perbix4915
Roman Josi4816
Erik Haula4717
Matthew Wood4518
Nicolas Hague40
Luke Evangelista722Adam Wilsby683Ryan O'Reilly664Brady Skjei665Steven Stamkos656Reid Schaefer637Fedor Svechkov638Filip Forsberg589Jonathan Marchessault5610Michael McCarron5611Michael Bunting5312Spencer Stastney5113Nick Blankenburg4914Nick Perbix4915Roman Josi4816Erik Haula4717Matthew Wood4518Nicolas Hague40Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 2 (13) | 0 (13) | 1 (12) | 0 (4) | 3 |
| NSH | 2 (11) | 0 (6) | 1 (9) | 0 (5) | 4 |
| COL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 9 | Hits | 11 |
| 21 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| COL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.69 | Expected goals | 4.02 |
| 4.22 | 5v5 xG | 2.82 |
| 0.93 | Power-play xG | 0.44 |
| 79 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 42 | On goal | 31 |
| 21 | High-danger | 18 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 16 | Missed | 11 |
| 21 | Blocked | 8 |
| 0.072 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG100 of 129 attempts shown