Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 1@New York Islanders 2
2025-12-02TBL · NYI
CF%?
62.7%·37.3%
xGF%?
61.1%·38.9%
HDCF%?
83.3%·16.7%
5v5 xGF%?
70.5%·29.5%
5v5 CF%?
62.1%·37.9%
?
NYI wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 82%Deserved to win?18% NYI
the game's chances, replayed · 4.13 xG vs 2.11 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 1@NYI 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickIlya SorokinNYI · 30 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.6491
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 1.25 ixG · 2 blk · 6 FOW72
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickEmil LillebergTBL · 1A · 0.08 ixG · 1 blk67TBL
1Anthony Cirelli722Emil Lilleberg673
Nick Paul654
Dominic James635
Gage Goncalves606
Darren Raddysh597
J.J. Moser588
Charle-Edouard D'Astous589
Declan Carlile5610
Oliver Bjorkstrand5611
Zemgus Girgensons5612
Yanni Gourde5513
Jake Guentzel5514
Pontus Holmberg5515
Brandon Hagel5516
Nikita Kucherov5417
Curtis Douglas5118
Steven Santini50
Anthony Cirelli722Emil Lilleberg673Nick Paul654Dominic James635Gage Goncalves606Darren Raddysh597J.J. Moser588Charle-Edouard D'Astous589Declan Carlile5610Oliver Bjorkstrand5611Zemgus Girgensons5612Yanni Gourde5513Jake Guentzel5514Pontus Holmberg5515Brandon Hagel5516Nikita Kucherov5417Curtis Douglas5118Steven Santini50Goalies
NYI
1
Bo Horvat642
Calum Ritchie633
Anthony Duclair634
Maxim Tsyplakov585
Simon Holmstrom586
Scott Mayfield567
Adam Pelech558
Max Shabanov559
Emil Heineman5510
Mathew Barzal5211
Casey Cizikas4912
Tony DeAngelo4913
Anders Lee4814
Matthew Schaefer4715
Travis Mitchell4616
Ryan Pulock4517
Kyle MacLean4518
Jonathan Drouin45
Bo Horvat642Calum Ritchie633Anthony Duclair634Maxim Tsyplakov585Simon Holmstrom586Scott Mayfield567Adam Pelech558Max Shabanov559Emil Heineman5510Mathew Barzal5211Casey Cizikas4912Tony DeAngelo4913Anders Lee4814Matthew Schaefer4715Travis Mitchell4616Ryan Pulock4517Kyle MacLean4518Jonathan Drouin45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (9) | 0 (13) | 1 (9) | 1 |
| NYI | 0 (9) | 1 (8) | 1 (7) | 2 |
| TBL | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 14 | Hits | 19 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 22 | Faceoff wins | 20 |
| TBL | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 6.60 | Expected goals | 4.21 |
| 4.83 | 5v5 xG | 2.02 |
| 1.72 | Power-play xG | 0.64 |
| 74 | Shot attempts | 44 |
| 31 | On goal | 24 |
| 30 | High-danger | 6 |
| 10 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 21 | Missed | 13 |
| 22 | Blocked | 7 |
| 0.089 | xG per attempt | 0.096 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 118 attempts shown