Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Calgary Flames 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 5
2025-11-26CGY · TBL
CF%?
51.2%·48.8%
xGF%?
55.2%·44.8%
HDCF%?
51.4%·48.6%
5v5 xGF%?
56.1%·43.9%
5v5 CF%?
50.5%·49.5%
?
TBL wins ↑CGY wins ↓
CGY 72%Deserved to win?28% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 4.50 xG vs 3.07 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CGY 1@TBL 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-26 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 1 gv · 31 sv · 1 GA99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.23 ixG81
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJoel FarabeeCGY · 1G · 0.80 ixG · 2 blk79CGY
1Joel Farabee792
John Beecher643
Yan Kuznetsov634
Nazem Kadri605
Matt Coronato596
Morgan Frost597
Rasmus Andersson558
Connor Zary549
Ryan Lomberg5410
Kevin Bahl5411
Yegor Sharangovich5412
Mikael Backlund5213
Joel Hanley5114
MacKenzie Weegar5115
Brayden Pachal5016
Blake Coleman5017
Jonathan Huberdeau4818
Adam Klapka47
Joel Farabee792John Beecher643Yan Kuznetsov634Nazem Kadri605Matt Coronato596Morgan Frost597Rasmus Andersson558Connor Zary549Ryan Lomberg5410Kevin Bahl5411Yegor Sharangovich5412Mikael Backlund5213Joel Hanley5114MacKenzie Weegar5115Brayden Pachal5016Blake Coleman5017Jonathan Huberdeau4818Adam Klapka47Goalies
TBL
1Brandon Hagel812
Nikita Kucherov743
Nick Paul714
Jake Guentzel705
Pontus Holmberg696
Zemgus Girgensons657
Anthony Cirelli658
Charle-Edouard D'Astous659
Declan Carlile6410
Darren Raddysh6411
Yanni Gourde6312
Steven Santini6213
Oliver Bjorkstrand5814
Dominic James5215
Gage Goncalves5116
Curtis Douglas5117
Emil Lilleberg4818
J.J. Moser44
Brandon Hagel812Nikita Kucherov743Nick Paul714Jake Guentzel705Pontus Holmberg696Zemgus Girgensons657Anthony Cirelli658Charle-Edouard D'Astous659Declan Carlile6410Darren Raddysh6411Yanni Gourde6312Steven Santini6213Oliver Bjorkstrand5814Dominic James5215Gage Goncalves5116Curtis Douglas5117Emil Lilleberg4818J.J. Moser44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 0 (5) | 0 (9) | 1 (18) | 1 |
| TBL | 4 (10) | 0 (9) | 1 (4) | 5 |
| CGY | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 25 | Hits | 13 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 23 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| CGY | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 6.21 | Expected goals | 5.04 |
| 4.82 | 5v5 xG | 3.77 |
| 1.19 | Power-play xG | 1.19 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 32 | On goal | 23 |
| 18 | High-danger | 17 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 14 | Missed | 18 |
| 17 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.099 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 26 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG87 of 123 attempts shown