Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Edmonton Oilers 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 2
2025-11-20EDM · TBL
CF%?
51.3%·48.7%
xGF%?
49.6%·50.4%
HDCF%?
57.6%·42.4%
5v5 xGF%?
48.4%·51.6%
5v5 CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
?
TBL wins ↑EDM wins ↓
EDM 34%Deserved to win?66% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.62 xG vs 3.52 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
EDM 1@TBL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickCalvin PickardEDM · 1 gv · 33 sv · 2 GA85
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 24 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.4775
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick PaulTBL · 1G · 0.32 ixG · 2 tk74EDM
1
Trent Frederic652
Leon Draisaitl643
Zach Hyman604
Matt Savoie565
Andrew Mangiapane566
Jake Walman567
Jack Roslovic568
David Tomasek559
Adam Henrique5410
Ty Emberson5411
Mattias Ekholm5312
Connor McDavid5213
Vasily Podkolzin5214
Alec Regula5015
Brett Kulak5016
Darnell Nurse5017
Mattias Janmark4818
Evan Bouchard44
Trent Frederic652Leon Draisaitl643Zach Hyman604Matt Savoie565Andrew Mangiapane566Jake Walman567Jack Roslovic568David Tomasek559Adam Henrique5410Ty Emberson5411Mattias Ekholm5312Connor McDavid5213Vasily Podkolzin5214Alec Regula5015Brett Kulak5016Darnell Nurse5017Mattias Janmark4818Evan Bouchard44Goalies
TBL
1Nick Paul742
Jake Guentzel693
J.J. Moser664
Darren Raddysh645
Emil Lilleberg636
Brayden Point617
Oliver Bjorkstrand568
Dominic James559
Curtis Douglas5410
Gage Goncalves5411
Zemgus Girgensons5412
Yanni Gourde5313
Nikita Kucherov5214
Steven Santini5215
Brandon Hagel5216
Anthony Cirelli5217
Declan Carlile5118
Charle-Edouard D'Astous51
Nick Paul742Jake Guentzel693J.J. Moser664Darren Raddysh645Emil Lilleberg636Brayden Point617Oliver Bjorkstrand568Dominic James559Curtis Douglas5410Gage Goncalves5411Zemgus Girgensons5412Yanni Gourde5313Nikita Kucherov5214Steven Santini5215Brandon Hagel5216Anthony Cirelli5217Declan Carlile5118Charle-Edouard D'Astous51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 1 (11) | 0 (7) | 0 (4) | 0 (3) | 1 |
| TBL | 0 (8) | 0 (11) | 1 (14) | 1 (2) | 2 |
| EDM | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 17 | Hits | 29 |
| 21 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 31 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| EDM | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.61 | Expected goals | 4.68 |
| 3.32 | 5v5 xG | 3.55 |
| 0.64 | Power-play xG | 0.91 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 25 | On goal | 35 |
| 19 | High-danger | 14 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 13 | Missed | 10 |
| 21 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.078 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG83 of 115 attempts shown