Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 5@Detroit Red Wings 4
2025-11-15BUF · DET
CF%?
48.2%·51.8%
xGF%?
51.0%·49.0%
HDCF%?
59.3%·40.7%
5v5 xGF%?
58.0%·42.0%
5v5 CF%?
50.6%·49.4%
?
DET wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 43%Deserved to win?57% DET
the game's chances, replayed · 2.64 xG vs 2.99 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 5@DET 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.69 ixG90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickLucas RaymondDET · 3A · 0.12 ixG · 1 blk88
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJosh DoanBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.29 ixG87BUF
1Tage Thompson902Josh Doan873
Rasmus Dahlin764
Mattias Samuelsson715
Alex Tuch686
Ryan McLeod677
Bowen Byram638
Jack Quinn639
Isak Rosen5710
Tyson Kozak5511
Beck Malenstyn5312
Noah Ostlund5213
Michael Kesselring5214
Conor Timmins5015
Jordan Greenway5016
Owen Power4917
Peyton Krebs4718
Josh Dunne46
Tage Thompson902Josh Doan873Rasmus Dahlin764Mattias Samuelsson715Alex Tuch686Ryan McLeod677Bowen Byram638Jack Quinn639Isak Rosen5710Tyson Kozak5511Beck Malenstyn5312Noah Ostlund5213Michael Kesselring5214Conor Timmins5015Jordan Greenway5016Owen Power4917Peyton Krebs4718Josh Dunne46Goalies
DET
1Lucas Raymond882
Alex DeBrincat823
Dylan Larkin764
Moritz Seider755
Ben Chiarot666
Patrick Kane597
Nate Danielson578
J.T. Compher569
Andrew Copp5510
Albert Johansson5411
Michael Rasmussen5212
Marco Kasper5213
Jacob Bernard-Docker5214
Jonatan Berggren5015
Axel Sandin-Pellikka5016
Emmitt Finnie4817
Mason Appleton4618
Simon Edvinsson43
Lucas Raymond882Alex DeBrincat823Dylan Larkin764Moritz Seider755Ben Chiarot666Patrick Kane597Nate Danielson578J.T. Compher569Andrew Copp5510Albert Johansson5411Michael Rasmussen5212Marco Kasper5213Jacob Bernard-Docker5214Jonatan Berggren5015Axel Sandin-Pellikka5016Emmitt Finnie4817Mason Appleton4618Simon Edvinsson43Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (5) | 1 (8) | 2 (13) | 1 (1) | 5 |
| DET | 1 (5) | 3 (15) | 0 (8) | 0 (0) | 4 |
| BUF | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 19 | Hits | 18 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 46 |
| BUF | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.36 | Expected goals | 4.20 |
| 3.29 | 5v5 xG | 2.39 |
| 0.65 | Power-play xG | 1.52 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 27 | On goal | 28 |
| 16 | High-danger | 11 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 10 | Missed | 14 |
| 17 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.081 | xG per attempt | 0.072 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 112 attempts shown