Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Colorado Avalanche 6
2025-11-13BUF · COL
CF%?
43.3%·56.7%
xGF%?
38.1%·61.9%
HDCF%?
37.5%·62.5%
5v5 xGF%?
41.6%·58.4%
5v5 CF%?
41.2%·58.8%
?
COL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 32%Deserved to win?68% COL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.60 xG vs 3.61 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 3@COL 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMartin NecasCOL · 2G · 2A · 0.42 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.46 ixG78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 1A · 0.55 ixG · 1 blk76BUF
1Tage Thompson782
Owen Power693
Jordan Greenway654
Peyton Krebs635
Isak Rosen616
Bowen Byram607
Mattias Samuelsson608
Alex Tuch579
Josh Doan5610
Beck Malenstyn5311
Tyson Kozak5312
Josh Dunne5213
Ryan McLeod5114
Jack Quinn4915
Noah Ostlund4716
Jacob Bryson4717
Conor Timmins4518
Michael Kesselring45
Tage Thompson782Owen Power693Jordan Greenway654Peyton Krebs635Isak Rosen616Bowen Byram607Mattias Samuelsson608Alex Tuch579Josh Doan5610Beck Malenstyn5311Tyson Kozak5312Josh Dunne5213Ryan McLeod5114Jack Quinn4915Noah Ostlund4716Jacob Bryson4717Conor Timmins4518Michael Kesselring45Goalies
COL
1Martin Necas992Nathan MacKinnon763
Gavin Brindley754
Brock Nelson755
Gabriel Landeskog736
Ross Colton707
Devon Toews708
Cale Makar689
Artturi Lehkonen6810
Sam Malinski6611
Samuel Girard6312
Josh Manson5913
Taylor Makar5614
Victor Olofsson5515
Parker Kelly5316
Zakhar Bardakov5117
Jack Drury5118
Brent Burns50
Martin Necas992Nathan MacKinnon763Gavin Brindley754Brock Nelson755Gabriel Landeskog736Ross Colton707Devon Toews708Cale Makar689Artturi Lehkonen6810Sam Malinski6611Samuel Girard6312Josh Manson5913Taylor Makar5614Victor Olofsson5515Parker Kelly5316Zakhar Bardakov5117Jack Drury5118Brent Burns50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 2 (6) | 1 (8) | 0 (7) | 3 |
| COL | 3 (6) | 1 (12) | 2 (16) | 6 |
| BUF | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 16 | Hits | 22 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 9 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 23 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 38 |
| BUF | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 6 |
| 4.01 | Expected goals | 6.51 |
| 2.93 | 5v5 xG | 4.12 |
| 0.98 | Power-play xG | 1.13 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 72 |
| 21 | On goal | 34 |
| 15 | High-danger | 25 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 18 | Missed | 24 |
| 16 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.090 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG97 of 127 attempts shown