HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Colorado Avalanche 5@Vancouver Canucks 4

2025-11-09
COL · VAN

CF%?

48.1%·51.9%

xGF%?

45.8%·54.2%

HDCF%?

52.5%·47.5%

5v5 xGF%?

56.6%·43.4%

5v5 CF%?

54.4%·45.6%

?
VAN wins ↑COL wins ↓
COL 41%Deserved to win?59% VAN

the game's chances, replayed · 3.32 xG vs 3.88 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable

COL 5@VAN 4

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-11-09 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 2G · 3A · 0.55 ixG99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickArtturi LehkonenCOL · 2G · 0.61 ixG · 2 blk87★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCale MakarCOL · 2A · 0.13 ixG · 1 blk74

COL

1Nathan MacKinnon992Artturi Lehkonen873Cale Makar744Gavin Brindley695Victor Olofsson646Martin Necas637Valeri Nichushkin638Brent Burns629Ross Colton5810Josh Manson5811Devon Toews5612Jack Drury5513Brock Nelson5414Parker Kelly5315Jack Ahcan5216Gabriel Landeskog5117Sam Malinski4818Zakhar Bardakov48

Goalies

1Mackenzie Blackwood51

VAN

1Jake DeBrusk692Linus Karlsson693Quinn Hughes684Elias Pettersson685Kiefer Sherwood676Brock Boeser667Filip Hronek648Drew O'Connor619Evander Kane6110Conor Garland6011Aatu Räty5812Lukas Reichel5513Arshdeep Bains5314Max Sasson5215Elias Pettersson5116Tom Willander4917Marcus Pettersson45

Goalies

1Kevin Lankinen43
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

6:41COL

Nathan MacKinnon from Valeri Nichushkin, Cale Makar

8:10COL

Nathan MacKinnon from Victor Olofsson, Valeri Nichushkin

PP
11:47VAN

Linus Karlsson from Filip Hronek, Evander Kane

Period 2

1:44VAN

Kiefer Sherwood

Period 3

0:28COL

Artturi Lehkonen from Brent Burns, Nathan MacKinnon

7:26VAN

Drew O'Connor

SH
9:47COL

Artturi Lehkonen from Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon

PP
16:59VAN

Jake DeBrusk from Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes

PP

OT

1:08COL

Gavin Brindley from Cale Makar, Nathan MacKinnon

Goals (SOG)123OTT
COL2 (9)0 (7)2 (14)1 (2)5
VAN1 (16)1 (10)2 (7)0 (0)4
COLVAN
2/3Power play1/5
18Hits10
19Blocked shots15
5Takeaways2
10Giveaways12
27Faceoff wins39
COLVAN
5Goals4
4.91Expected goals5.81
3.805v5 xG2.92
0.92Power-play xG2.81
65Shot attempts70
32On goal33
21High-danger19
3Rebound chances5
14Missed22
19Blocked15
0.076xG per attempt0.083
30 ftAvg shot distance28 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

COL attackingVAN attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG101 of 135 attempts shown