HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Tampa Bay Lightning 6@Vegas Golden Knights 3

2025-11-06
TBL · VGK

CF%?

53.5%·46.5%

xGF%?

61.0%·39.0%

HDCF%?

51.4%·48.6%

5v5 xGF%?

54.1%·45.9%

5v5 CF%?

48.9%·51.1%

?
VGK wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 64%Deserved to win?36% VGK

the game's chances, replayed · 4.38 xG vs 3.46 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable

TBL 6@VGK 3

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-11-06 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 2G · 1A · 2.57 ixG99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDominic JamesTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.20 ixG92★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 2G · 1A · 0.44 ixG89

TBL

1Brandon Hagel992Dominic James923Nikita Kucherov894Oliver Bjorkstrand855Jake Guentzel756Gage Goncalves697Yanni Gourde608Victor Hedman599Brayden Point5810Zemgus Girgensons5811Ryan McDonagh5612J.J. Moser5613Erik Cernak5314Anthony Cirelli5215Darren Raddysh5216Charle-Edouard D'Astous5117Pontus Holmberg51

Goalies

1Andrei Vasilevskiy63

VGK

1Mitch Marner822Ivan Barbashev823Jack Eichel794Noah Hanifin635William Karlsson616Brayden McNabb597Pavel Dorofeyev588Zach Whitecloud569Brett Howden5510Tomas Hertl5411Colton Sissons5312Keegan Kolesar5313Reilly Smith5214Brandon Saad5115Cole Reinhardt5116Kaedan Korczak5017Shea Theodore48

Goalies

1Carl Lindbom40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

7:25VGK

Ivan Barbashev from Noah Hanifin, Mitch Marner

15:53VGK

Ivan Barbashev from Mitch Marner, Jack Eichel

Period 2

0:36TBL

Gage Goncalves from Dominic James

3:28TBL

Dominic James from Oliver Bjorkstrand, J.J. Moser

Period 3

2:47TBL

Nikita Kucherov from Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jake Guentzel

PP
3:37VGK

Mitch Marner from Jack Eichel, Ivan Barbashev

4:12TBL

Brandon Hagel from Dominic James

14:13TBL

Nikita Kucherov from Victor Hedman, Brandon Hagel

PP
19:13TBL

Brandon Hagel from Nikita Kucherov

EN
Goals (SOG)123T
TBL0 (3)2 (15)4 (9)6
VGK2 (15)0 (4)1 (13)3
TBLVGK
2/4Power play0/2
11Hits13
18Blocked shots18
9Takeaways2
8Giveaways13
22Faceoff wins32
TBLVGK
6Goals3
7.82Expected goals5.00
3.775v5 xG3.20
2.37Power-play xG1.75
69Shot attempts60
27On goal32
19High-danger18
6Rebound chances4
24Missed10
18Blocked18
0.113xG per attempt0.083
29 ftAvg shot distance28 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

TBL attackingVGK attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 129 attempts shown