Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@Colorado Avalanche 3
2025-11-04TBL · COL
CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
xGF%?
43.5%·56.5%
HDCF%?
48.5%·51.5%
5v5 xGF%?
46.1%·53.9%
5v5 CF%?
52.2%·47.8%
?
COL wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 23%Deserved to win?77% COL
the game's chances, replayed · 1.99 xG vs 3.48 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 2@COL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickVictor OlofssonCOL · 2G · 0.27 ixG · 1 blk80
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJack DruryCOL · 1A · 0.25 ixG · 4 blk78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBrayden PointTBL · 1G · 0.33 ixG · 1 tk73TBL
1Brayden Point732
Nikita Kucherov653
Charle-Edouard D'Astous634
Ryan McDonagh615
Victor Hedman586
Zemgus Girgensons547
Anthony Cirelli548
J.J. Moser549
Dominic James5310
Max Crozier5211
Yanni Gourde5212
Gage Goncalves5113
Jake Guentzel5114
Emil Lilleberg5015
Brandon Hagel4816
Oliver Bjorkstrand4817
Pontus Holmberg47
Brayden Point732Nikita Kucherov653Charle-Edouard D'Astous634Ryan McDonagh615Victor Hedman586Zemgus Girgensons547Anthony Cirelli548J.J. Moser549Dominic James5310Max Crozier5211Yanni Gourde5212Gage Goncalves5113Jake Guentzel5114Emil Lilleberg5015Brandon Hagel4816Oliver Bjorkstrand4817Pontus Holmberg47Goalies
COL
1Victor Olofsson802Jack Drury783
Nathan MacKinnon694
Ross Colton695
Josh Manson656
Martin Necas647
Brock Nelson648
Sam Malinski629
Gabriel Landeskog6210
Valeri Nichushkin5711
Jack Ahcan5612
Artturi Lehkonen5413
Brent Burns5414
Cale Makar5415
Erik Cernak5316
Tristen Nielsen5217
Zakhar Bardakov5118
Parker Kelly4919
Devon Toews49
Victor Olofsson802Jack Drury783Nathan MacKinnon694Ross Colton695Josh Manson656Martin Necas647Brock Nelson648Sam Malinski629Gabriel Landeskog6210Valeri Nichushkin5711Jack Ahcan5612Artturi Lehkonen5413Brent Burns5414Cale Makar5415Erik Cernak5316Tristen Nielsen5217Zakhar Bardakov5118Parker Kelly4919Devon Toews49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (9) | 0 (7) | 1 (8) | 2 |
| COL | 1 (10) | 2 (14) | 0 (9) | 3 |
| TBL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 23 | Hits | 17 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| TBL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.15 | Expected goals | 5.39 |
| 3.02 | 5v5 xG | 3.53 |
| 1.11 | Power-play xG | 1.83 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 24 | On goal | 33 |
| 16 | High-danger | 17 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 17 | Missed | 10 |
| 19 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.069 | xG per attempt | 0.090 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 120 attempts shown