HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Detroit Red Wings 5@St. Louis Blues 2

2025-10-28
DET · STL

CF%?

49.0%·51.0%

xGF%?

51.0%·49.0%

HDCF%?

46.7%·53.3%

5v5 xGF%?

49.6%·50.4%

5v5 CF%?

51.2%·48.8%

?
STL wins ↑DET wins ↓
DET 74%Deserved to win?26% STL

the game's chances, replayed · 2.83 xG vs 1.65 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable

DET 5@STL 2

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-10-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickDylan LarkinDET · 2G · 1A · 0.91 ixG96★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJordan KyrouSTL · 1G · 0.32 ixG · 1 blk72★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLucas RaymondDET · 2A · 0.26 ixG · 1 tk70

DET

1Dylan Larkin962Lucas Raymond703Alex DeBrincat694Michael Rasmussen655Elmer Soderblom656Simon Edvinsson647James van Riemsdyk618Moritz Seider619Travis Hamonic6110Ben Chiarot6011Mason Appleton5912Marco Kasper5813Emmitt Finnie5114J.T. Compher5115Albert Johansson5116Andrew Copp4817Axel Sandin-Pellikka4818Jonatan Berggren48

Goalies

1John Gibson54

STL

1Jordan Kyrou722Pius Suter663Colton Parayko654Philip Broberg655Brayden Schenn636Nick Bjugstad597Nathan Walker558Dylan Holloway559Alexey Toropchenko5410Tyler Tucker5411Alexandre Texier5312Jimmy Snuggerud5213Mathieu Joseph5114Logan Mailloux5115Oskar Sundqvist5016Justin Faulk5017Cam Fowler49

Goalies

1Jordan Binnington40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

0:47STL

Brayden Schenn from Colton Parayko, Philip Broberg

12:01DET

Ben Chiarot from Mason Appleton, Alex DeBrincat

19:24DET

Alex DeBrincat from Moritz Seider, Dylan Larkin

PP

Period 2

11:14DET

Dylan Larkin from Simon Edvinsson, Lucas Raymond

12:56DET

Elmer Soderblom from Michael Rasmussen, James van Riemsdyk

Period 3

15:36STL

Jordan Kyrou from Pius Suter, Philip Broberg

18:53DET

Dylan Larkin from Lucas Raymond

EN
Goals (SOG)123T
DET2 (7)2 (7)1 (6)5
STL1 (6)0 (12)1 (4)2
DETSTL
1/3Power play0/3
14Hits31
11Blocked shots19
3Takeaways3
19Giveaways13
27Faceoff wins18
DETSTL
5Goals2
4.22Expected goals4.06
2.805v5 xG2.84
0.50Power-play xG1.22
49Shot attempts51
20On goal22
14High-danger16
0Rebound chances3
18Missed10
11Blocked19
0.086xG per attempt0.080
33 ftAvg shot distance30 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

DET attackingSTL attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG70 of 100 attempts shown