Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Calgary Flames 3@Toronto Maple Leafs 4
2025-10-28CGY · TOR
CF%?
47.0%·53.0%
xGF%?
48.1%·51.9%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
57.9%·42.1%
5v5 CF%?
50.6%·49.4%
?
TOR wins ↑CGY wins ↓
CGY 49%Deserved to win?51% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.13 xG vs 3.18 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CGY 3@TOR 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMatthew KniesTOR · 2G · 1A · 0.81 ixG91
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMax DomiTOR · 2G · 0.21 ixG · 2 tk78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMorgan FrostCGY · 1G · 0.25 ixG · 1 blk70CGY
1Morgan Frost702
Samuel Honzek673
Joel Farabee664
Justin Kirkland645
Rasmus Andersson646
Nazem Kadri637
Mikael Backlund628
Jonathan Huberdeau609
Blake Coleman5410
Connor Zary5111
Ryan Lomberg5112
Joel Hanley4913
Zayne Parekh4714
Jake Bean4615
Yegor Sharangovich4616
MacKenzie Weegar4517
Kevin Bahl42
Morgan Frost702Samuel Honzek673Joel Farabee664Justin Kirkland645Rasmus Andersson646Nazem Kadri637Mikael Backlund628Jonathan Huberdeau609Blake Coleman5410Connor Zary5111Ryan Lomberg5112Joel Hanley4913Zayne Parekh4714Jake Bean4615Yegor Sharangovich4616MacKenzie Weegar4517Kevin Bahl42Goalies
TOR
1Matthew Knies912Max Domi783
John Tavares694
William Nylander665
Auston Matthews666
Steven Lorentz627
Matias Maccelli608
Philippe Myers579
Dakota Joshua5510
Bobby McMann5411
Simon Benoit5412
Jake McCabe5413
Nicholas Robertson5414
Brandon Carlo5315
Nicolas Roy5216
Easton Cowan5017
Morgan Rielly4818
Oliver Ekman-Larsson47
Matthew Knies912Max Domi783John Tavares694William Nylander665Auston Matthews666Steven Lorentz627Matias Maccelli608Philippe Myers579Dakota Joshua5510Bobby McMann5411Simon Benoit5412Jake McCabe5413Nicholas Robertson5414Brandon Carlo5315Nicolas Roy5216Easton Cowan5017Morgan Rielly4818Oliver Ekman-Larsson47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 1 (9) | 1 (8) | 1 (12) | 3 |
| TOR | 0 (11) | 2 (16) | 2 (10) | 4 |
| CGY | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 20 | Hits | 18 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 30 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 26 |
| CGY | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.70 | Expected goals | 5.08 |
| 3.44 | 5v5 xG | 2.50 |
| 1.26 | Power-play xG | 1.83 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 29 | On goal | 37 |
| 20 | High-danger | 20 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 10 | Missed | 14 |
| 16 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.086 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG90 of 117 attempts shown