Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Vegas Golden Knights 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 2
2025-10-26VGK · TBL
CF%?
39.0%·61.0%
xGF%?
36.9%·63.1%
HDCF%?
40.5%·59.5%
5v5 xGF%?
42.5%·57.5%
5v5 CF%?
42.3%·57.7%
?
TBL wins ↑VGK wins ↓
VGK 28%Deserved to win?72% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 1.68 xG vs 2.72 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
VGK 1@TBL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-26 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.43 ixG79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickCarl LindbomVGK · 26 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.3474
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickWilliam KarlssonVGK · 1G · 0.15 ixG · 2 blk69VGK
1William Karlsson692
Shea Theodore673
Reilly Smith584
Tomas Hertl585
Colton Sissons576
Jeremy Lauzon567
Brayden McNabb568
Brett Howden569
Ben Hutton5310
Keegan Kolesar5311
Kaedan Korczak5312
Ivan Barbashev5313
Jack Eichel5214
Mitch Marner5215
Pavel Dorofeyev5116
Zach Whitecloud5017
Alexander Holtz5018
Brandon Saad47
William Karlsson692Shea Theodore673Reilly Smith584Tomas Hertl585Colton Sissons576Jeremy Lauzon567Brayden McNabb568Brett Howden569Ben Hutton5310Keegan Kolesar5311Kaedan Korczak5312Ivan Barbashev5313Jack Eichel5214Mitch Marner5215Pavel Dorofeyev5116Zach Whitecloud5017Alexander Holtz5018Brandon Saad47Goalies
TBL
1Brandon Hagel792
Jake Guentzel653
Victor Hedman644
Nikita Kucherov615
Erik Cernak586
Dominic James577
Anthony Cirelli558
Gage Goncalves549
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5410
Pontus Holmberg5211
J.J. Moser5212
Brayden Point5113
Darren Raddysh5114
Zemgus Girgensons5015
Yanni Gourde5016
Oliver Bjorkstrand4817
Ryan McDonagh47
Brandon Hagel792Jake Guentzel653Victor Hedman644Nikita Kucherov615Erik Cernak586Dominic James577Anthony Cirelli558Gage Goncalves549Charle-Edouard D'Astous5410Pontus Holmberg5211J.J. Moser5212Brayden Point5113Darren Raddysh5114Zemgus Girgensons5015Yanni Gourde5016Oliver Bjorkstrand4817Ryan McDonagh47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 1 (6) | 0 (2) | 0 (11) | 0 (0) | 1 |
| TBL | 1 (13) | 0 (11) | 0 (3) | 1 (1) | 2 |
| VGK | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 27 | Hits | 19 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 25 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| VGK | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 3.28 | Expected goals | 5.61 |
| 2.35 | 5v5 xG | 3.18 |
| 0.88 | Power-play xG | 2.10 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 19 | On goal | 28 |
| 15 | High-danger | 22 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 6 | Missed | 11 |
| 16 | Blocked | 25 |
| 0.080 | xG per attempt | 0.088 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG64 of 105 attempts shown