Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 7@Washington Capitals 1
OTT · WSH
CF%?
51.4%·48.6%
xGF%?
52.0%·48.0%
HDCF%?
57.5%·42.5%
5v5 xGF%?
49.1%·50.9%
5v5 CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
?
WSH wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 80%Deserved to win?20% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 3.67 xG vs 1.94 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailableOTT 7@WSH 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-25 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDylan CozensOTT · 2G · 1A · 0.70 ixG97
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDrake BathersonOTT · 2G · 1A · 0.49 ixG92
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTim StützleOTT · 2A · 0.34 ixG · 1 blk77OTT
1
Dylan Cozens972
Drake Batherson923
Tim Stützle774
Artem Zub735
David Perron736
Shane Pinto707
Nick Cousins688
Claude Giroux669
Thomas Chabot6410
Fabian Zetterlund6311
Lars Eller6212
Michael Amadio5713
Jake Sanderson5714
Ridly Greig5715
Nick Jensen5416
Kurtis MacDermid5317
Tyler Kleven5018
Nikolas Matinpalo48
Dylan Cozens972
Drake Batherson923
Tim Stützle774
Artem Zub735
David Perron736
Shane Pinto707
Nick Cousins688
Claude Giroux669
Thomas Chabot6410
Fabian Zetterlund6311
Lars Eller6212
Michael Amadio5713
Jake Sanderson5714
Ridly Greig5715
Nick Jensen5416
Kurtis MacDermid5317
Tyler Kleven5018
Nikolas Matinpalo48Goalies
WSH
1
Nic Dowd652
Ryan Leonard653
Trevor van Riemsdyk614
Pierre-Luc Dubois585
Tom Wilson566
Matt Roy557
Martin Fehérváry558
Jakob Chychrun549
Alex Ovechkin5410
Justin Sourdif5311
Hendrix Lapierre5112
Connor McMichael5113
Anthony Beauvillier5014
Dylan Strome5015
Dylan McIlrath5016
John Carlson4917
Brandon Duhaime4818
Aliaksei Protas46
Nic Dowd652
Ryan Leonard653
Trevor van Riemsdyk614
Pierre-Luc Dubois585
Tom Wilson566
Matt Roy557
Martin Fehérváry558
Jakob Chychrun549
Alex Ovechkin5410
Justin Sourdif5311
Hendrix Lapierre5112
Connor McMichael5113
Anthony Beauvillier5014
Dylan Strome5015
Dylan McIlrath5016
John Carlson4917
Brandon Duhaime4818
Aliaksei Protas46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1 (8) | 3 (11) | 3 (15) | 7 |
| WSH | 0 (3) | 0 (3) | 1 (7) | 1 |
| OTT | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 12 | Hits | 28 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 25 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 36 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| OTT | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.88 | Expected goals | 4.51 |
| 3.63 | 5v5 xG | 3.77 |
| 1.06 | Power-play xG | 0.39 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 34 | On goal | 13 |
| 23 | High-danger | 17 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 11 | Missed | 16 |
| 12 | Blocked | 25 |
| 0.086 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG74 of 111 attempts shown

