Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 1@Vegas Golden Knights 4
2025-10-20CAR · VGK
CF%?
53.0%·47.0%
xGF%?
51.4%·48.6%
HDCF%?
52.9%·47.1%
5v5 xGF%?
57.0%·43.0%
5v5 CF%?
53.1%·46.9%
?
VGK wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 43%Deserved to win?57% VGK
the game's chances, replayed · 2.04 xG vs 2.36 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CAR 1@VGK 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickWilliam KarlssonVGK · 1G · 0.48 ixG · 1 blk71
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAkira SchmidVGK · 22 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.1371
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMitch MarnerVGK · 2A · 2 gv · 1 hits69CAR
1
Seth Jarvis652
Sebastian Aho653
Alexander Nikishin594
Sean Walker595
Mike Reilly576
Jalen Chatfield557
Jordan Staal558
Nikolaj Ehlers559
William Carrier5410
Jesperi Kotkaniemi5411
Logan Stankoven5412
Eric Robinson5313
Andrei Svechnikov5214
Jordan Martinook5215
Charles Alexis Legault5116
Taylor Hall5017
Jackson Blake5018
K'Andre Miller50
Seth Jarvis652Sebastian Aho653Alexander Nikishin594Sean Walker595Mike Reilly576Jalen Chatfield557Jordan Staal558Nikolaj Ehlers559William Carrier5410Jesperi Kotkaniemi5411Logan Stankoven5412Eric Robinson5313Andrei Svechnikov5214Jordan Martinook5215Charles Alexis Legault5116Taylor Hall5017Jackson Blake5018K'Andre Miller50Goalies
VGK
1William Karlsson712Mitch Marner693
Brandon Saad694
Ivan Barbashev685
Pavel Dorofeyev676
Jack Eichel657
Shea Theodore618
Tomas Hertl609
Brayden McNabb5910
Alexander Holtz5411
Colton Sissons5312
Zach Whitecloud5313
Kaedan Korczak5314
Reilly Smith5215
Keegan Kolesar5216
Jeremy Lauzon5217
Ben Hutton5018
Cole Reinhardt44
William Karlsson712Mitch Marner693Brandon Saad694Ivan Barbashev685Pavel Dorofeyev676Jack Eichel657Shea Theodore618Tomas Hertl609Brayden McNabb5910Alexander Holtz5411Colton Sissons5312Zach Whitecloud5313Kaedan Korczak5314Reilly Smith5215Keegan Kolesar5216Jeremy Lauzon5217Ben Hutton5018Cole Reinhardt44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 (8) | 1 (9) | 0 (10) | 1 |
| VGK | 2 (8) | 0 (7) | 2 (11) | 4 |
| CAR | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 15 | Hits | 13 |
| 25 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 1 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 35 |
| CAR | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.62 | Expected goals | 4.38 |
| 3.65 | 5v5 xG | 2.75 |
| 0.82 | Power-play xG | 0.89 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 27 | On goal | 26 |
| 18 | High-danger | 16 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 10 | Missed | 11 |
| 25 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.075 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG74 of 117 attempts shown