Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 1@Detroit Red Wings 2
2025-10-17TBL · DET
CF%?
54.8%·45.2%
xGF%?
55.0%·45.0%
HDCF%?
58.3%·41.7%
5v5 xGF%?
58.2%·41.8%
5v5 CF%?
55.9%·44.1%
?
DET wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 45%Deserved to win?55% DET
the game's chances, replayed · 2.69 xG vs 2.96 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TBL 1@DET 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-17 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJohn GibsonDET · 1 gv · 31 sv · 1 GA79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDylan LarkinDET · 1G · 1A · 0.42 ixG75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 29 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +0.9971TBL
1
Victor Hedman682
J.J. Moser623
Jake Guentzel574
Conor Geekie575
Jack Finley576
Mitchell Chaffee567
Darren Raddysh568
Emil Lilleberg559
Gage Goncalves5510
Erik Cernak5511
Brayden Point5412
Oliver Bjorkstrand5413
Ryan McDonagh5214
Curtis Douglas5215
Anthony Cirelli5116
Yanni Gourde5017
Brandon Hagel5018
Pontus Holmberg46
Victor Hedman682J.J. Moser623Jake Guentzel574Conor Geekie575Jack Finley576Mitchell Chaffee567Darren Raddysh568Emil Lilleberg559Gage Goncalves5510Erik Cernak5511Brayden Point5412Oliver Bjorkstrand5413Ryan McDonagh5214Curtis Douglas5215Anthony Cirelli5116Yanni Gourde5017Brandon Hagel5018Pontus Holmberg46Goalies
DET
1Dylan Larkin752
Axel Sandin-Pellikka653
J.T. Compher644
Moritz Seider615
Emmitt Finnie616
Michael Rasmussen597
Mason Appleton598
Marco Kasper599
Elmer Soderblom5810
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård5611
James van Riemsdyk5512
Alex DeBrincat5413
Andrew Copp5214
Simon Edvinsson5215
Albert Johansson5216
Ben Chiarot5117
Jacob Bernard-Docker4918
Patrick Kane43
Dylan Larkin752Axel Sandin-Pellikka653J.T. Compher644Moritz Seider615Emmitt Finnie616Michael Rasmussen597Mason Appleton598Marco Kasper599Elmer Soderblom5810Michael Brandsegg-Nygård5611James van Riemsdyk5512Alex DeBrincat5413Andrew Copp5214Simon Edvinsson5215Albert Johansson5216Ben Chiarot5117Jacob Bernard-Docker4918Patrick Kane43Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (6) | 0 (5) | 1 (19) | 0 (2) | 1 |
| DET | 1 (12) | 0 (10) | 0 (6) | 1 (3) | 2 |
| TBL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 20 | Hits | 27 |
| 24 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| TBL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 5.15 | Expected goals | 4.22 |
| 3.80 | 5v5 xG | 2.73 |
| 1.03 | Power-play xG | 1.04 |
| 74 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 32 | On goal | 31 |
| 21 | High-danger | 15 |
| 11 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 18 | Missed | 16 |
| 24 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.070 | xG per attempt | 0.069 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG97 of 135 attempts shown