Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Anaheim Ducks 1
2025-10-16CAR · ANA
CF%?
53.9%·46.1%
xGF%?
59.1%·40.9%
HDCF%?
67.4%·32.6%
5v5 xGF%?
61.2%·38.8%
5v5 CF%?
55.6%·44.4%
?
ANA wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 70%Deserved to win?30% ANA
the game's chances, replayed · 3.69 xG vs 2.50 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CAR 4@ANA 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-16 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 2G · 1A · 0.66 ixG97
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickShayne GostisbehereCAR · 3A · 0.07 ixG · 2 blk79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.40 ixG78CAR
1Seth Jarvis972Shayne Gostisbehere793Sebastian Aho784
Alexander Nikishin625
Jordan Staal606
Jackson Blake587
Jordan Martinook588
Taylor Hall559
Sean Walker5310
Andrei Svechnikov5311
Mark Jankowski5212
Mike Reilly5213
Logan Stankoven5114
Nikolaj Ehlers5115
William Carrier5016
Eric Robinson4917
K'Andre Miller4818
Jalen Chatfield48
Seth Jarvis972Shayne Gostisbehere793Sebastian Aho784Alexander Nikishin625Jordan Staal606Jackson Blake587Jordan Martinook588Taylor Hall559Sean Walker5310Andrei Svechnikov5311Mark Jankowski5212Mike Reilly5213Logan Stankoven5114Nikolaj Ehlers5115William Carrier5016Eric Robinson4917K'Andre Miller4818Jalen Chatfield48Goalies
ANA
1
Leo Carlsson722
Alex Killorn613
Drew Helleson604
Jacob Trouba595
Cutter Gauthier586
Radko Gudas557
Frank Vatrano558
Mikael Granlund559
Mason McTavish5510
Chris Kreider5411
Beckett Sennecke5412
Jackson LaCombe5313
Olen Zellweger5214
Nikita Nesterenko5115
Ross Johnston5016
Ryan Poehling5017
Troy Terry5018
Pavel Mintyukov46
Leo Carlsson722Alex Killorn613Drew Helleson604Jacob Trouba595Cutter Gauthier586Radko Gudas557Frank Vatrano558Mikael Granlund559Mason McTavish5510Chris Kreider5411Beckett Sennecke5412Jackson LaCombe5313Olen Zellweger5214Nikita Nesterenko5115Ross Johnston5016Ryan Poehling5017Troy Terry5018Pavel Mintyukov46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 (11) | 1 (12) | 2 (9) | 4 |
| ANA | 0 (8) | 1 (10) | 0 (6) | 1 |
| CAR | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | Power play | 0/7 |
| 19 | Hits | 31 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 1 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 24 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| CAR | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 5.69 | Expected goals | 3.93 |
| 4.97 | 5v5 xG | 3.16 |
| 0.55 | Power-play xG | 0.61 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 32 | On goal | 24 |
| 29 | High-danger | 14 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 12 | Missed | 12 |
| 18 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.092 | xG per attempt | 0.074 |
| 24 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG80 of 115 attempts shown