HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Anaheim Ducks 7@San Jose Sharks 6

2025-10-11
ANA · SJS

CF%?

66.4%·33.6%

xGF%?

64.3%·35.7%

HDCF%?

67.4%·32.6%

5v5 xGF%?

64.2%·35.8%

5v5 CF%?

67.0%·33.0%

?
SJS wins ↑ANA wins ↓
ANA 83%Deserved to win?17% SJS

the game's chances, replayed · 4.49 xG vs 2.31 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

ANA 7@SJS 6

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-10-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickMason McTavishANA · 3A · 0.61 ixG · 1 blk99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickLeo CarlssonANA · 1G · 2A · 0.23 ixG92★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCutter GauthierANA · 2G · 0.43 ixG · 1 blk89

ANA

1Mason McTavish992Leo Carlsson923Cutter Gauthier894Beckett Sennecke865Chris Kreider856Mikael Granlund747Alex Killorn738Troy Terry709Olen Zellweger7010Jacob Trouba6411Radko Gudas6012Barclay Goodrow5413Jackson LaCombe5314Nikita Nesterenko5315Frank Vatrano5216Drew Helleson5117Pavel Mintyukov5118Ross Johnston5019Ryan Poehling46

Goalies

1Petr Mrazek40

SJS

1Macklin Celebrini782Will Smith783Adam Gaudette744Ty Dellandrea695Mario Ferraro686Jeff Skinner677Dmitry Orlov668Ryan Reaves649Tyler Toffoli6310Alexander Wennberg5911John Klingberg5812Nick Leddy5613Collin Graf5314Timothy Liljegren5015Sam Dickinson4616Philipp Kurashev4517William Eklund40

Goalies

1Yaroslav Askarov40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

3:40SJS

Tyler Toffoli from Will Smith, Macklin Celebrini

PP
11:12SJS

Ryan Reaves from Adam Gaudette, Nick Leddy

11:53ANA

Cutter Gauthier from Mason McTavish, Radko Gudas

15:14ANA

Beckett Sennecke from Mason McTavish, Olen Zellweger

PP

Period 2

5:21SJS

Mario Ferraro from Will Smith, Macklin Celebrini

6:19ANA

Alex Killorn from Mikael Granlund

10:34SJS

John Klingberg from Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith

PP
17:14SJS

Adam Gaudette from Alexander Wennberg, Dmitry Orlov

PP
19:29ANA

Chris Kreider from Leo Carlsson, Troy Terry

PP

Period 3

5:34SJS

Jeff Skinner from Ty Dellandrea, Dmitry Orlov

10:29ANA

Cutter Gauthier from Mason McTavish, Beckett Sennecke

19:09ANA

Chris Kreider from Leo Carlsson, Troy Terry

PP

OT

0:46ANA

Leo Carlsson from Mikael Granlund

Goals (SOG)123OTT
ANA2 (14)2 (15)2 (14)1 (1)7
SJS2 (7)3 (10)1 (6)0 (0)6
ANASJS
3/5Power play3/5
24Hits20
19Blocked shots13
3Takeaways3
15Giveaways20
24Faceoff wins33
ANASJS
7Goals6
6.89Expected goals3.83
4.935v5 xG2.75
1.84Power-play xG0.99
85Shot attempts43
44On goal23
31High-danger15
8Rebound chances4
22Missed7
19Blocked13
0.081xG per attempt0.089
29 ftAvg shot distance27 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

ANA attackingSJS attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG96 of 128 attempts shown