Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Dallas Stars 5@Colorado Avalanche 4
DAL · COL
CF%?
32.8%·67.2%
xGF%?
33.8%·66.2%
HDCF%?
35.1%·64.9%
5v5 xGF%?
32.0%·68.0%
5v5 CF%?
32.3%·67.7%
?
COL wins ↑DAL wins ↓
DAL 22%Deserved to win?78% COL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.19 xG vs 3.89 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelDAL 5@COL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 1G · 2A · 0.42 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMartin NecasCOL · 1G · 2A · 0.29 ixG85
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickThomas HarleyDAL · 1G · 1A · 0.17 ixG80DAL
1
Thomas Harley802
Wyatt Johnston693
Nathan Bastian684
Jason Robertson625
Esa Lindell606
Miro Heiskanen607
Matt Duchene588
Nils Lundkvist549
Colin Blackwell5410
Tyler Seguin5311
Roope Hintz5312
Mikko Rantanen5213
Radek Faksa5214
Mavrik Bourque4915
Justin Hryckowian4816
Sam Steel4817
Lian Bichsel4018
Ilya Lyubushkin40
Thomas Harley802
Wyatt Johnston693
Nathan Bastian684
Jason Robertson625
Esa Lindell606
Miro Heiskanen607
Matt Duchene588
Nils Lundkvist549
Colin Blackwell5410
Tyler Seguin5311
Roope Hintz5312
Mikko Rantanen5213
Radek Faksa5214
Mavrik Bourque4915
Justin Hryckowian4816
Sam Steel4817
Lian Bichsel4018
Ilya Lyubushkin40Goalies
COL
1
Nathan MacKinnon992
Martin Necas853
Artturi Lehkonen734
Victor Olofsson655
Cale Makar646
Sam Malinski637
Brent Burns628
Gavin Brindley619
Brock Nelson6110
Gabriel Landeskog6011
Jack Drury5912
Devon Toews5813
Ilya Solovyov5714
Valeri Nichushkin5615
Parker Kelly5316
Joel Kiviranta5217
Josh Manson5218
Ross Colton49
Nathan MacKinnon992
Martin Necas853
Artturi Lehkonen734
Victor Olofsson655
Cale Makar646
Sam Malinski637
Brent Burns628
Gavin Brindley619
Brock Nelson6110
Gabriel Landeskog6011
Jack Drury5912
Devon Toews5813
Ilya Solovyov5714
Valeri Nichushkin5615
Parker Kelly5316
Joel Kiviranta5217
Josh Manson5218
Ross Colton49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 1 (5) | 2 (6) | 1 (11) | 0 (0) | 5 |
| COL | 0 (14) | 2 (8) | 2 (16) | 0 (1) | 4 |
| DAL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 17 | Hits | 19 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 26 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| DAL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 4 |
| 3.23 | Expected goals | 6.33 |
| 2.19 | 5v5 xG | 4.65 |
| 0.77 | Power-play xG | 1.15 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 84 |
| 22 | On goal | 39 |
| 13 | High-danger | 24 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 11 | Missed | 19 |
| 8 | Blocked | 26 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.075 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG91 of 125 attempts shown

