Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 5@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2025-10-09OTT · TBL
CF%?
57.8%·42.2%
xGF%?
61.8%·38.2%
HDCF%?
66.7%·33.3%
5v5 xGF%?
66.3%·33.7%
5v5 CF%?
58.7%·41.3%
?
TBL wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 68%Deserved to win?32% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.14 xG vs 2.19 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
OTT 5@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-09 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickShane PintoOTT · 2G · 1A · 0.50 ixG95
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrady TkachukOTT · 3A · 0.63 ixG · 1 blk93
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickArtem ZubOTT · 1G · 2A · 0.10 ixG89OTT
1Shane Pinto952Brady Tkachuk933Artem Zub894
Jake Sanderson835
Dylan Cozens706
Claude Giroux707
Tim Stützle698
Fabian Zetterlund629
Ridly Greig5910
Lars Eller5911
Thomas Chabot5712
Erik Cernak5713
Michael Amadio5714
Nikolas Matinpalo5415
Donovan Sebrango5316
Kurtis MacDermid5117
David Perron5018
Nick Cousins4819
Nick Jensen47
Shane Pinto952Brady Tkachuk933Artem Zub894Jake Sanderson835Dylan Cozens706Claude Giroux707Tim Stützle698Fabian Zetterlund629Ridly Greig5910Lars Eller5911Thomas Chabot5712Erik Cernak5713Michael Amadio5714Nikolas Matinpalo5415Donovan Sebrango5316Kurtis MacDermid5117David Perron5018Nick Cousins4819Nick Jensen47Goalies
TBL
1
Brayden Point742
Jake Guentzel723
Nikita Kucherov694
Darren Raddysh665
Victor Hedman646
Oliver Bjorkstrand617
Anthony Cirelli608
Gage Goncalves549
Max Crozier5410
Yanni Gourde5311
Conor Geekie5312
Ryan McDonagh5213
Mitchell Chaffee5214
Curtis Douglas5215
Emil Lilleberg5216
Brandon Hagel5117
Pontus Holmberg50
Brayden Point742Jake Guentzel723Nikita Kucherov694Darren Raddysh665Victor Hedman646Oliver Bjorkstrand617Anthony Cirelli608Gage Goncalves549Max Crozier5410Yanni Gourde5311Conor Geekie5312Ryan McDonagh5213Mitchell Chaffee5214Curtis Douglas5215Emil Lilleberg5216Brandon Hagel5117Pontus Holmberg50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1 (13) | 2 (13) | 2 (8) | 5 |
| TBL | 3 (14) | 0 (7) | 1 (4) | 4 |
| OTT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | Power play | 3/7 |
| 37 | Hits | 40 |
| 21 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| OTT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 4 |
| 5.65 | Expected goals | 3.50 |
| 4.25 | 5v5 xG | 2.16 |
| 1.02 | Power-play xG | 1.34 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 49 |
| 34 | On goal | 25 |
| 20 | High-danger | 10 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 12 | Missed | 13 |
| 21 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.084 | xG per attempt | 0.071 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 116 attempts shown