Regular season

Theo Lindstein

St. Louis Blues · D · #41

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?4 points and 14 blocks in 17 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 197 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: L
From: Gavle, SWE
Draft: 2023 STL · R1 #29

66Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6464pctl

2727pctl

6565pctl

3636pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2442pctl

0.1281pctl

0.1215pctl

1.255pctl

+669pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.8%29pctl

2.4774pctl

0.028pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5665pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.8210pctl

3.1317pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.89pctl

1.834pctl

0.113pctl

0:0643pctl

0:2416pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

54.3%84pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

68.8%99pctl

O-zone deployment?

47%39pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min15pctl

Support received?

17.0 min58pctl

D-zone deployment?

53%61pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1281pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3324pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2947pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.41/gm4pctl

Pressure escape rate?

4.8%3pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 260 EV min

General Offense

4.6268

4.1668

Shot Setups/60?

0.6943

Chance Setups/60?

0.2327

Primary Contributions/60?

5.3164

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2340

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0038

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4660

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2363

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2371

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3940

Rush Offense/60?

6.7066

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6974

1.1676

0.2374

Deflections/60?

0.0033

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0038

Entries Finished/60?

0.4668

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2370

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.1624

0.2331

0.9224

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

0.2336

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.92M

cap hit

$3.63M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Theo Lindstein	66	Depth Defenseman	4 P · 17 GP	$0.92M	$3.63M	A+$2.7M	this player
Logan Mailloux	63	Depth Defenseman	13 P · 67 GP	$0.88M	$2.83M	B+$2.0M	84%
Matthew Robertson	67	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 72 GP	$0.81M	$3.91M	A+$3.1M	81%
Troy Stecher	62	Depth Defenseman	14 P · 64 GP	$0.79M	$2.59M	B+$1.8M	76%
Nate Schmidt	63	Depth Defenseman	22 P · 82 GP	-	$2.83M	-	75%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Theo’s goals

Creates for

goals Theo assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 2 G · 1 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:17 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 03-28

0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:31 TOI

@ SJS

1P

1G 0A

@ SJS 03-30

1G 0A · 2 shots · 17:12 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-01

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:59 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-03

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:01 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:01 TOI

vs COL

1P

0G 1A

vs COL 04-07

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:59 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 18:45 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:09 TOI

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN 04-13

1G 0A · 3 shots · 15:34 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)65 events shown

The office: the right circle - 1 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 14 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	17	2	2	4	6
Career	1 team	17	2	2	4	6