HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mathew Dumba

- · D · #24
Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?12 blocks across 11 games of regular duty
HT
6'0"
WT
191 lb
Age
32
Shoots
R
From
Regina, CAN
Draft
2012 MIN · R1 #7
70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4848pctl
Playmaking?
4444pctl
Transition?
5353pctl
Defense?
6060pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2751pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0972pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1838pctl
Shots / GP?
0.69pctl
Plus/Minus?
-531pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.3%9pctl
ZEIS?
1.9560pctl
PSPL?
0.0832pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6876pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.0928pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.3858pctl
Hits / 60?
5.889pctl
Take : Give?
0.75100pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:018pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:065pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 3 GP tracked · 1h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.4 min3pctl
Support received?
15.1 min100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 163 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mathew Dumba70--this player
Ben Hutton71--89%
Jeremy Lauzon68$2.00MA+$2.2M87%
Will Borgen67$4.10MC$0.2M84%
Ryan Graves71$4.50MC+$0.6M84%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Mathew’s goals

No credited connections yet.

Creates for

goals Mathew assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI

1P

0G 1A

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

1P

0G 1A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF

1P

1G 0A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)44 events shown

Defensive floor: 12 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Minnesota Wild13112-5
2014-15Minnesota Wild58881613
2015-16Minnesota Wild811016261
2016-17Minnesota Wild7611233415
2017-18Minnesota Wild8214365015
2018-19Minnesota Wild32121022-5
2019-20Minnesota Wild6961824-7
2020-21Minnesota Wild51615211
2021-22Minnesota Wild57720279
2022-23Minnesota Wild7941014-8
2023-24Arizona Coyotes584610-13
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning18022-5
2024-25Dallas Stars631910-5
2025-26Pittsburgh Penguins11123-5
Career5 teams748851762611