Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 3@Buffalo Sabres 2
2026-05-18MTL · BUF
CF%?
39.7%·60.3%
xGF%?
35.9%·64.1%
HDCF%?
48.9%·51.1%
5v5 xGF%?
33.2%·66.8%
5v5 CF%?
37.9%·62.1%
?
BUF wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 27%Deserved to win?73% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.04 xG vs 4.52 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 3@BUF 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-05-18 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJakub DobesMTL · 2 gv · 37 sv · 2 GA83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan McLeodBUF · 1A · 0.17 ixG · 1 blk74
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickOwen PowerBUF · 1A · 0.13 ixG · 1 blk72MTL
1
Zachary Bolduc702
Alex Newhook693
Nick Suzuki624
Kaiden Guhle625
Alexandre Carrier626
Cole Caufield607
Phillip Danault568
Kirby Dach559
Lane Hutson5310
Oliver Kapanen5311
Juraj Slafkovský5312
Ivan Demidov5113
Arber Xhekaj4914
Noah Dobson4815
Alexandre Texier4716
Josh Anderson4617
Mike Matheson4318
Jake Evans42
Zachary Bolduc702Alex Newhook693Nick Suzuki624Kaiden Guhle625Alexandre Carrier626Cole Caufield607Phillip Danault568Kirby Dach559Lane Hutson5310Oliver Kapanen5311Juraj Slafkovský5312Ivan Demidov5113Arber Xhekaj4914Noah Dobson4815Alexandre Texier4716Josh Anderson4617Mike Matheson4318Jake Evans42Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 (11) | 0 (7) | 0 (4) | 1 (3) | 3 |
| BUF | 0 (9) | 1 (14) | 1 (10) | 0 (6) | 2 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/1 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 28 | Hits | 21 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 27 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 37 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.07 | Expected goals | 7.27 |
| 3.55 | 5v5 xG | 7.14 |
| 0.49 | Power-play xG | 0.14 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 91 |
| 25 | On goal | 39 |
| 22 | High-danger | 23 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 23 | Missed | 25 |
| 12 | Blocked | 27 |
| 0.068 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG112 of 151 attempts shown