Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 8@Montréal Canadiens 3
2026-05-16BUF · MTL
CF%?
53.5%·46.5%
xGF%?
58.3%·41.7%
HDCF%?
56.8%·43.2%
5v5 xGF%?
63.8%·36.2%
5v5 CF%?
56.8%·43.2%
?
MTL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 79%Deserved to win?21% MTL
the game's chances, replayed · 4.45 xG vs 2.58 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 8@MTL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-05-16 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRasmus DahlinBUF · 1G · 4A · 0.43 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 3A · 1.21 ixG99
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJack QuinnBUF · 2G · 1A · 0.30 ixG90BUF
1Rasmus Dahlin992Tage Thompson993Jack Quinn904
Zach Benson895
Jason Zucker816
Josh Norris727
Ryan McLeod708
Konsta Helenius699
Mattias Samuelsson6910
Zach Metsa6411
Bowen Byram6112
Alex Tuch6013
Josh Doan5714
Beck Malenstyn5415
Owen Power5416
Conor Timmins4817
Jordan Greenway4818
Peyton Krebs46
Rasmus Dahlin992Tage Thompson993Jack Quinn904Zach Benson895Jason Zucker816Josh Norris727Ryan McLeod708Konsta Helenius699Mattias Samuelsson6910Zach Metsa6411Bowen Byram6112Alex Tuch6013Josh Doan5714Beck Malenstyn5415Owen Power5416Conor Timmins4817Jordan Greenway4818Peyton Krebs46Goalies
MTL
1
Jake Evans752
Ivan Demidov683
Arber Xhekaj654
Lane Hutson645
Mike Matheson636
Cole Caufield587
Alex Newhook588
Nick Suzuki559
Zachary Bolduc5410
Kirby Dach5411
Kaiden Guhle5312
Joe Veleno5113
Phillip Danault4914
Juraj Slafkovský4915
Josh Anderson4716
Alexandre Texier4617
Noah Dobson4518
Alexandre Carrier44
Jake Evans752Ivan Demidov683Arber Xhekaj654Lane Hutson645Mike Matheson636Cole Caufield587Alex Newhook588Nick Suzuki559Zachary Bolduc5410Kirby Dach5411Kaiden Guhle5312Joe Veleno5113Phillip Danault4914Juraj Slafkovský4915Josh Anderson4716Alexandre Texier4617Noah Dobson4518Alexandre Carrier44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 2 (11) | 3 (17) | 3 (8) | 8 |
| MTL | 3 (5) | 0 (10) | 0 (7) | 3 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4/8 | Power play | 1/6 |
| 19 | Hits | 31 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 34 | Faceoff wins | 22 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goals | 3 |
| 6.10 | Expected goals | 4.37 |
| 3.47 | 5v5 xG | 1.97 |
| 1.89 | Power-play xG | 2.32 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 36 | On goal | 22 |
| 21 | High-danger | 16 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 14 | Missed | 13 |
| 11 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.100 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG85 of 114 attempts shown