Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Montréal Canadiens 2
BUF · MTL
CF%?
37.0%·63.0%
xGF%?
41.6%·58.4%
HDCF%?
44.1%·55.9%
5v5 xGF%?
39.9%·60.1%
5v5 CF%?
37.2%·62.8%
?
MTL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 50%Deserved to win?50% MTL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.21 xG vs 3.22 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelBUF 3@MTL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-05-12 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 29 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.5778
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMattias SamuelssonBUF · 1G · 0.18 ixG · 6 blk75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCole CaufieldMTL · 1G · 0.49 ixG · 1 tk74BUF
1
Mattias Samuelsson752
Rasmus Dahlin693
Tage Thompson684
Josh Norris625
Josh Doan626
Zach Benson597
Conor Timmins598
Konsta Helenius599
Ryan McLeod5610
Alex Tuch5611
Jack Quinn5612
Jason Zucker5513
Peyton Krebs5414
Beck Malenstyn5315
Zachary Bolduc5316
Owen Power5317
Jordan Greenway5018
Luke Schenn4919
Bowen Byram43
Mattias Samuelsson752
Rasmus Dahlin693
Tage Thompson684
Josh Norris625
Josh Doan626
Zach Benson597
Conor Timmins598
Konsta Helenius599
Ryan McLeod5610
Alex Tuch5611
Jack Quinn5612
Jason Zucker5513
Peyton Krebs5414
Beck Malenstyn5315
Zachary Bolduc5316
Owen Power5317
Jordan Greenway5018
Luke Schenn4919
Bowen Byram43Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (12) | 1 (5) | 1 (5) | 3 |
| MTL | 2 (8) | 0 (11) | 0 (12) | 2 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/4 | Power play | 1/7 |
| 23 | Hits | 26 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 30 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.21 | Expected goals | 5.89 |
| 2.34 | 5v5 xG | 3.53 |
| 0.71 | Power-play xG | 2.30 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 22 | On goal | 31 |
| 15 | High-danger | 19 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 16 | Missed | 14 |
| 6 | Blocked | 30 |
| 0.096 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG83 of 119 attempts shown
















