Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 5@Buffalo Sabres 1
2026-05-08MTL · BUF
CF%?
47.1%·52.9%
xGF%?
55.8%·44.2%
HDCF%?
62.5%·37.5%
5v5 xGF%?
53.6%·46.4%
5v5 CF%?
44.3%·55.7%
?
BUF wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 70%Deserved to win?30% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.55 xG vs 2.39 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 5@BUF 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-05-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAlex NewhookMTL · 2G · 0.53 ixG · 1 blk79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJakub DobesMTL · 28 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.4677
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SuzukiMTL · 1G · 0.85 ixG · 1 blk74MTL
1Alex Newhook792Nick Suzuki743
Mike Matheson734
Noah Dobson715
Phillip Danault716
Kaiden Guhle667
Lane Hutson658
Jake Evans639
Alexandre Carrier6110
Josh Anderson6011
Joe Veleno5912
Zachary Bolduc5813
Juraj Slafkovský5714
Cole Caufield5615
Ivan Demidov5416
Arber Xhekaj5017
Kirby Dach4818
Alexandre Texier48
Alex Newhook792Nick Suzuki743Mike Matheson734Noah Dobson715Phillip Danault716Kaiden Guhle667Lane Hutson658Jake Evans639Alexandre Carrier6110Josh Anderson6011Joe Veleno5912Zachary Bolduc5813Juraj Slafkovský5714Cole Caufield5615Ivan Demidov5416Arber Xhekaj5017Kirby Dach4818Alexandre Texier48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 (13) | 1 (8) | 2 (7) | 5 |
| BUF | 0 (8) | 1 (11) | 0 (10) | 1 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/6 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 18 | Hits | 44 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 20 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 11 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 1 |
| 5.44 | Expected goals | 4.31 |
| 2.83 | 5v5 xG | 2.45 |
| 1.80 | Power-play xG | 1.80 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 28 | On goal | 29 |
| 20 | High-danger | 12 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 17 | Missed | 15 |
| 12 | Blocked | 20 |
| 0.095 | xG per attempt | 0.067 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 121 attempts shown