Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 2@Buffalo Sabres 4
MTL · BUF
CF%?
53.5%·46.5%
xGF%?
47.7%·52.3%
HDCF%?
54.3%·45.7%
5v5 xGF%?
41.8%·58.2%
5v5 CF%?
49.3%·50.7%
?
BUF wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 45%Deserved to win?55% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.71 xG vs 2.96 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelMTL 2@BUF 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-05-06 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRyan McLeodBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.18 ixG80
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickZach BensonBUF · 2A · 0.30 ixG · 2 hits80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 26 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.0971MTL
1
Juraj Slafkovský672
Nick Suzuki673
Ivan Demidov654
Kirby Dach625
Jake Evans616
Zachary Bolduc607
Alex Newhook588
Phillip Danault559
Kaiden Guhle5510
Arber Xhekaj5411
Alexandre Carrier5312
Noah Dobson5313
Lane Hutson5214
Joe Veleno5215
Cole Caufield5016
Josh Anderson4817
Alexandre Texier4818
Mike Matheson47
Juraj Slafkovský672
Nick Suzuki673
Ivan Demidov654
Kirby Dach625
Jake Evans616
Zachary Bolduc607
Alex Newhook588
Phillip Danault559
Kaiden Guhle5510
Arber Xhekaj5411
Alexandre Carrier5312
Noah Dobson5313
Lane Hutson5214
Joe Veleno5215
Cole Caufield5016
Josh Anderson4817
Alexandre Texier4818
Mike Matheson47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 (9) | 1 (8) | 0 (11) | 2 |
| BUF | 2 (6) | 2 (9) | 0 (1) | 4 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 2/3 |
| 31 | Hits | 27 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 7 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 19 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.32 | Expected goals | 4.75 |
| 2.56 | 5v5 xG | 3.56 |
| 1.74 | Power-play xG | 1.19 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 28 | On goal | 16 |
| 19 | High-danger | 16 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 12 | Missed | 15 |
| 13 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.103 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 23 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG71 of 99 attempts shown
















