HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Utah Mammoth 4@Vegas Golden Knights 5

2026-04-29
UTA · VGK

CF%?

52.6%·47.4%

xGF%?

50.0%·50.0%

HDCF%?

47.7%·52.3%

5v5 xGF%?

48.5%·51.5%

5v5 CF%?

52.8%·47.2%

?
VGK wins ↑UTA wins ↓
UTA 55%Deserved to win?45% VGK

the game's chances, replayed · 3.63 xG vs 3.31 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

UTA 4@VGK 5

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-04-29 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickPavel DorofeyevVGK · 3G · 0.60 ixG · 2 blk95★ 2nd star · our model’s pickClayton KellerUTA · 2A · 0.37 ixG · 2 tk82★ 3rd star · our model’s pickShea TheodoreVGK · 1G · 1A · 0.27 ixG78

UTA

1Clayton Keller822Lawson Crouse743Nick Schmaltz734John Marino705Alexander Kerfoot666Kailer Yamamoto647Michael Carcone648Mikhail Sergachev639Dylan Guenther6210MacKenzie Weegar5811Brandon Tanev5612Logan Cooley5513Sean Durzi5414Kevin Stenlund5315Barrett Hayton5216Nate Schmidt5117Ian Cole4818JJ Peterka46

Goalies

1Karel Vejmelka41

VGK

1Pavel Dorofeyev952Shea Theodore783Jack Eichel764Brett Howden705Tomas Hertl666Mitch Marner617Ivan Barbashev618Nic Dowd619Mark Stone6110Keegan Kolesar5911Noah Hanifin5812Reilly Smith5813Jeremy Lauzon5814Brayden McNabb5715Rasmus Andersson5316Cole Smith5017Kaedan Korczak4918Colton Sissons48

Goalies

1Carter Hart60
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

17:11UTA

John Marino from Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz

19:19VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Tomas Hertl, Jack Eichel

PP

Period 2

10:40UTA

Lawson Crouse from Clayton Keller, Mikhail Sergachev

15:37VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Shea Theodore, Ivan Barbashev

17:17VGK

Shea Theodore from Mark Stone

Period 3

5:54UTA

Dylan Guenther from Kailer Yamamoto, MacKenzie Weegar

12:42UTA

Michael Carcone from Alexander Kerfoot

19:07VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Reilly Smith, Jack Eichel

PP

2OT

5:28VGK

Brett Howden from Mitch Marner

SH
Goals (SOG)123OT2OTT
UTA1 (7)1 (9)2 (10)0 (10)0 (2)4
VGK1 (7)2 (9)1 (9)0 (8)1 (5)5
UTAVGK
0/5Power play2/6
44Hits42
20Blocked shots18
9Takeaways5
23Giveaways26
41Faceoff wins40
UTAVGK
4Goals5
5.30Expected goals5.29
3.545v5 xG3.76
1.60Power-play xG1.14
81Shot attempts73
38On goal38
21High-danger23
3Rebound chances2
23Missed17
20Blocked18
0.065xG per attempt0.073
34 ftAvg shot distance31 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

UTA attackingVGK attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG116 of 154 attempts shown