HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Vegas Golden Knights 5@Utah Mammoth 4

2026-04-27
VGK · UTA

CF%?

55.3%·44.7%

xGF%?

60.5%·39.5%

HDCF%?

70.3%·29.7%

5v5 xGF%?

59.2%·40.8%

5v5 CF%?

53.1%·46.9%

?
UTA wins ↑VGK wins ↓
VGK 73%Deserved to win?27% UTA

the game's chances, replayed · 3.91 xG vs 2.54 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

VGK 5@UTA 4

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-04-27 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrett HowdenVGK · 2G · 1A · 0.34 ixG93★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJack EichelVGK · 3A · 0.33 ixG · 1 gv88★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SchmaltzUTA · 1G · 1A · 0.28 ixG85

VGK

1Brett Howden932Jack Eichel883Noah Hanifin714Shea Theodore715Ivan Barbashev706Pavel Dorofeyev697Mitch Marner688Nic Dowd669Cole Smith6410Brayden McNabb6111Colton Sissons6012Mark Stone5913Jeremy Lauzon5714John Marino5515Keegan Kolesar5516Tomas Hertl5417Rasmus Andersson5318Kaedan Korczak5019Reilly Smith48

Goalies

1Carter Hart40

UTA

1Nick Schmaltz852Mikhail Sergachev723Clayton Keller724Dylan Guenther705Michael Carcone696Lawson Crouse667Ian Cole628Sean Durzi589MacKenzie Weegar5610Kailer Yamamoto5511Alexander Kerfoot5512Brandon Tanev5413Logan Cooley5314Kevin Stenlund5215Liam O'Brien5016Nate Schmidt4917JJ Peterka47

Goalies

1Karel Vejmelka43
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

1:12VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Ivan Barbashev, Jack Eichel

18:38VGK

Brett Howden from Mitch Marner

SH

Period 2

3:26VGK

Cole Smith from Noah Hanifin, Colton Sissons

8:04UTA

Nick Schmaltz from Lawson Crouse, Mikhail Sergachev

8:33UTA

Ian Cole from Sean Durzi

Period 3

1:45UTA

Michael Carcone from Dylan Guenther, Mikhail Sergachev

5:10UTA

Clayton Keller from Nick Schmaltz, Mikhail Sergachev

10:25VGK

Brett Howden from Noah Hanifin, Jack Eichel

OT

19:08VGK

Shea Theodore from Jack Eichel, Brett Howden

Goals (SOG)123OTT
VGK2 (8)1 (10)1 (10)1 (8)5
UTA0 (3)2 (11)2 (8)0 (9)4
VGKUTA
0/4Power play0/3
41Hits57
22Blocked shots23
4Takeaways5
22Giveaways19
42Faceoff wins41
VGKUTA
5Goals4
6.12Expected goals4.00
4.575v5 xG3.15
1.32Power-play xG0.85
84Shot attempts68
36On goal31
26High-danger11
6Rebound chances1
26Missed14
22Blocked23
0.073xG per attempt0.059
28 ftAvg shot distance35 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

VGK attackingUTA attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG107 of 152 attempts shown