Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 2@Carolina Hurricanes 3
2026-04-20OTT · CAR
CF%?
47.6%·52.4%
xGF%?
49.3%·50.7%
HDCF%?
47.3%·52.7%
5v5 xGF%?
51.6%·48.4%
5v5 CF%?
48.5%·51.5%
?
CAR wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 42%Deserved to win?58% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 4.59 xG vs 5.16 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
OTT 2@CAR 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickLinus UllmarkOTT · 2 gv · 46 sv · 3 GA90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickFrederik AndersenCAR · 1 gv · 37 sv · 2 GA87
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickRidly GreigOTT · 1A · 0.34 ixG · 5 blk84OTT
1Ridly Greig842
Jake Sanderson693
Dylan Cozens664
Drake Batherson665
Claude Giroux616
Lars Eller617
Shane Pinto608
Tim Stützle599
Warren Foegele5810
Thomas Chabot5611
Brady Tkachuk5612
Fabian Zetterlund5513
Nick Cousins5514
Mark Jankowski5415
Michael Amadio5416
Dennis Gilbert5417
Lassi Thomson5318
Jordan Spence53
Ridly Greig842Jake Sanderson693Dylan Cozens664Drake Batherson665Claude Giroux616Lars Eller617Shane Pinto608Tim Stützle599Warren Foegele5810Thomas Chabot5611Brady Tkachuk5612Fabian Zetterlund5513Nick Cousins5514Mark Jankowski5415Michael Amadio5416Dennis Gilbert5417Lassi Thomson5318Jordan Spence53Goalies
CAR
1
Jordan Staal772
Sebastian Aho753
Jordan Martinook714
Logan Stankoven705
Jackson Blake666
Nikolaj Ehlers657
K'Andre Miller648
Taylor Hall639
William Carrier5910
Jaccob Slavin5511
Sean Walker5512
Andrei Svechnikov5113
Seth Jarvis5114
Eric Robinson5015
Nikolas Matinpalo4916
Jalen Chatfield4817
Shayne Gostisbehere4818
Alexander Nikishin48
Jordan Staal772Sebastian Aho753Jordan Martinook714Logan Stankoven705Jackson Blake666Nikolaj Ehlers657K'Andre Miller648Taylor Hall639William Carrier5910Jaccob Slavin5511Sean Walker5512Andrei Svechnikov5113Seth Jarvis5114Eric Robinson5015Nikolas Matinpalo4916Jalen Chatfield4817Shayne Gostisbehere4818Alexander Nikishin48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | 2OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 0 (9) | 2 (7) | 0 (8) | 0 (8) | 0 (7) | 2 |
| CAR | 1 (14) | 1 (17) | 0 (5) | 0 (7) | 1 (6) | 3 |
| OTT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 52 | Hits | 43 |
| 28 | Blocked shots | 26 |
| 11 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 29 | Giveaways | 31 |
| 51 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| OTT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 7.20 | Expected goals | 7.41 |
| 6.81 | 5v5 xG | 6.39 |
| 0.26 | Power-play xG | 0.74 |
| 99 | Shot attempts | 109 |
| 39 | On goal | 49 |
| 26 | High-danger | 29 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 32 | Missed | 34 |
| 28 | Blocked | 26 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.068 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG154 of 208 attempts shown