Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 2@Tampa Bay Lightning 1
2026-05-03MTL · TBL
CF%?
41.7%·58.3%
xGF%?
44.7%·55.3%
HDCF%?
32.0%·68.0%
5v5 xGF%?
34.2%·65.8%
5v5 CF%?
43.4%·56.6%
?
TBL wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 13%Deserved to win?87% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 0.99 xG vs 2.82 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
MTL 2@TBL 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-05-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJakub DobesMTL · 1 gv · 28 sv · 1 GA84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickKaiden GuhleMTL · 2A · 0.01 ixG · 2 blk73
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SuzukiMTL · 1G · 0.14 ixG · 3 blk71MTL
1Kaiden Guhle732Nick Suzuki713
Alex Newhook654
Josh Anderson605
Lane Hutson606
Phillip Danault597
Juraj Slafkovský558
Jake Evans559
Kirby Dach5510
Alexandre Texier5411
Anthony Cirelli5312
Zachary Bolduc5313
Jayden Struble5314
Ivan Demidov5215
Cole Caufield5216
Brendan Gallagher5217
Noah Dobson5118
Alexandre Carrier4919
Mike Matheson48
Kaiden Guhle732Nick Suzuki713Alex Newhook654Josh Anderson605Lane Hutson606Phillip Danault597Juraj Slafkovský558Jake Evans559Kirby Dach5510Alexandre Texier5411Anthony Cirelli5312Zachary Bolduc5313Jayden Struble5314Ivan Demidov5215Cole Caufield5216Brendan Gallagher5217Noah Dobson5118Alexandre Carrier4919Mike Matheson48Goalies
TBL
1
Dominic James692
Gage Goncalves673
Charle-Edouard D'Astous644
Nick Paul615
Zemgus Girgensons596
Oliver Bjorkstrand567
Brandon Hagel568
Jake Guentzel559
Erik Cernak5410
Emil Lilleberg5411
Ryan McDonagh5312
J.J. Moser5313
Brayden Point5214
Nikita Kucherov5215
Yanni Gourde5116
Corey Perry5117
Darren Raddysh45
Dominic James692Gage Goncalves673Charle-Edouard D'Astous644Nick Paul615Zemgus Girgensons596Oliver Bjorkstrand567Brandon Hagel568Jake Guentzel559Erik Cernak5410Emil Lilleberg5411Ryan McDonagh5312J.J. Moser5313Brayden Point5214Nikita Kucherov5215Yanni Gourde5116Corey Perry5117Darren Raddysh45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 (4) | 0 (0) | 1 (5) | 2 |
| TBL | 0 (9) | 1 (12) | 0 (8) | 1 |
| MTL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 43 | Hits | 30 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| MTL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 1 |
| 3.45 | Expected goals | 4.26 |
| 1.92 | 5v5 xG | 3.69 |
| 0.15 | Power-play xG | 0.57 |
| 40 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 9 | On goal | 29 |
| 8 | High-danger | 17 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 14 | Missed | 12 |
| 17 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.086 | xG per attempt | 0.076 |
| 37 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG64 of 96 attempts shown