Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@Ottawa Senators 6
2026-04-07TBL · OTT
CF%?
47.9%·52.1%
xGF%?
37.9%·62.1%
HDCF%?
40.0%·60.0%
5v5 xGF%?
48.4%·51.6%
5v5 CF%?
52.4%·47.6%
?
OTT wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 23%Deserved to win?77% OTT
the game's chances, replayed · 2.14 xG vs 3.75 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 2@OTT 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-07 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrady TkachukOTT · 4A · 0.80 ixG · 3 hits99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJake SandersonOTT · 2G · 1.12 ixG · 2 blk88
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTim StützleOTT · 1G · 2A · 0.26 ixG86TBL
1
Nick Paul782
Corey Perry743
Nikita Kucherov644
Ryan McDonagh625
Brayden Point616
Jake Guentzel557
Darren Raddysh538
Zemgus Girgensons539
Jakob Pelletier5310
Conor Geekie5211
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5112
Oliver Bjorkstrand5113
Gage Goncalves5114
J.J. Moser5115
Dylan Duke5016
Erik Cernak5017
Emil Lilleberg4618
Yanni Gourde45
Nick Paul782Corey Perry743Nikita Kucherov644Ryan McDonagh625Brayden Point616Jake Guentzel557Darren Raddysh538Zemgus Girgensons539Jakob Pelletier5310Conor Geekie5211Charle-Edouard D'Astous5112Oliver Bjorkstrand5113Gage Goncalves5114J.J. Moser5115Dylan Duke5016Erik Cernak5017Emil Lilleberg4618Yanni Gourde45Goalies
OTT
1Brady Tkachuk992Jake Sanderson883Tim Stützle864
Shane Pinto755
Dylan Cozens706
Drake Batherson697
Jordan Spence668
Fabian Zetterlund659
Cameron Crotty6210
Artem Zub5611
Lars Eller5412
Nick Cousins5313
Nikolas Matinpalo5314
Ridly Greig5315
Lassi Thomson5116
Michael Amadio5017
Claude Giroux4918
Warren Foegele48
Brady Tkachuk992Jake Sanderson883Tim Stützle864Shane Pinto755Dylan Cozens706Drake Batherson697Jordan Spence668Fabian Zetterlund659Cameron Crotty6210Artem Zub5611Lars Eller5412Nick Cousins5313Nikolas Matinpalo5314Ridly Greig5315Lassi Thomson5116Michael Amadio5017Claude Giroux4918Warren Foegele48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (11) | 1 (7) | 1 (12) | 2 |
| OTT | 0 (7) | 1 (12) | 5 (13) | 6 |
| TBL | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 15 | Hits | 19 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 39 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| TBL | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 6 |
| 3.80 | Expected goals | 6.23 |
| 3.14 | 5v5 xG | 3.34 |
| 0.66 | Power-play xG | 1.18 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 30 | On goal | 32 |
| 14 | High-danger | 21 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 14 | Missed | 19 |
| 14 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.066 | xG per attempt | 0.099 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 121 attempts shown