Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
New York Islanders 3@Carolina Hurricanes 4
NYI · CAR
CF%?
28.1%·71.9%
xGF%?
30.5%·69.5%
HDCF%?
41.9%·58.1%
5v5 xGF%?
31.0%·69.0%
5v5 CF%?
23.7%·76.3%
?
CAR wins ↑NYI wins ↓
NYI 22%Deserved to win?78% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.27 xG vs 4.01 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelNYI 3@CAR 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 2G · 1A · 0.97 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1G · 0.87 ixG · 1 gv78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLogan StankovenCAR · 1A · 0.15 ixG · 1 tk72NYI
1
Anders Lee672
Marc Gatcomb633
Jean-Gabriel Pageau624
Matthew Schaefer625
Max Shabanov616
Calum Ritchie607
Scott Mayfield588
Mathew Barzal589
Casey Cizikas5410
Carson Soucy5311
Isaiah George5312
Simon Holmstrom5213
Ondrej Palat5214
Brayden Schenn5115
Bo Horvat5016
Emil Heineman4517
Ryan Pulock44
Anders Lee672
Marc Gatcomb633
Jean-Gabriel Pageau624
Matthew Schaefer625
Max Shabanov616
Calum Ritchie607
Scott Mayfield588
Mathew Barzal589
Casey Cizikas5410
Carson Soucy5311
Isaiah George5312
Simon Holmstrom5213
Ondrej Palat5214
Brayden Schenn5115
Bo Horvat5016
Emil Heineman4517
Ryan Pulock44Goalies
CAR
1
Seth Jarvis992
Sebastian Aho783
Logan Stankoven724
K'Andre Miller715
Jackson Blake676
Taylor Hall677
Andrei Svechnikov668
Jaccob Slavin659
Sean Walker6510
Jalen Chatfield6411
Jordan Staal6212
William Carrier5813
Jordan Martinook5714
Nikolaj Ehlers5715
Alexander Nikishin5716
Shayne Gostisbehere5617
Eric Robinson5418
Mark Jankowski52
Seth Jarvis992
Sebastian Aho783
Logan Stankoven724
K'Andre Miller715
Jackson Blake676
Taylor Hall677
Andrei Svechnikov668
Jaccob Slavin659
Sean Walker6510
Jalen Chatfield6411
Jordan Staal6212
William Carrier5813
Jordan Martinook5714
Nikolaj Ehlers5715
Alexander Nikishin5716
Shayne Gostisbehere5617
Eric Robinson5418
Mark Jankowski52Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 1 (4) | 1 (2) | 1 (10) | 3 |
| CAR | 1 (13) | 2 (18) | 1 (9) | 4 |
| NYI | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 23 | Hits | 21 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 6 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| NYI | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 2.76 | Expected goals | 6.29 |
| 1.95 | 5v5 xG | 4.33 |
| 0.76 | Power-play xG | 1.40 |
| 32 | Shot attempts | 82 |
| 16 | On goal | 40 |
| 13 | High-danger | 18 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 9 | Missed | 21 |
| 7 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.086 | xG per attempt | 0.077 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG86 of 114 attempts shown

