Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Boston Bruins 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 3
2026-04-04BOS · TBL
CF%?
55.7%·44.3%
xGF%?
45.1%·54.9%
HDCF%?
69.6%·30.4%
5v5 xGF%?
56.0%·44.0%
5v5 CF%?
55.7%·44.3%
?
TBL wins ↑BOS wins ↓
BOS 64%Deserved to win?36% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.64 xG vs 1.95 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BOS 1@TBL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickCasey MittelstadtBOS · 1G · 0.21 ixG · 1 hits70
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 1 gv · 21 sv · 1 GA69
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickViktor ArvidssonBOS · 1A · 0.63 ixG · 1 blk67BOS
1Casey Mittelstadt702Viktor Arvidsson673
Pavel Zacha654
Charlie McAvoy645
Elias Lindholm626
Hampus Lindholm587
Fraser Minten548
Jordan Harris549
Tanner Jeannot5410
David Pastrnak5311
Morgan Geekie5212
Michael Eyssimont5113
Mark Kastelic5114
Nikita Zadorov5015
Andrew Peeke4916
Jonathan Aspirot4817
Marat Khusnutdinov4818
Sean Kuraly46
Casey Mittelstadt702Viktor Arvidsson673Pavel Zacha654Charlie McAvoy645Elias Lindholm626Hampus Lindholm587Fraser Minten548Jordan Harris549Tanner Jeannot5410David Pastrnak5311Morgan Geekie5212Michael Eyssimont5113Mark Kastelic5114Nikita Zadorov5015Andrew Peeke4916Jonathan Aspirot4817Marat Khusnutdinov4818Sean Kuraly46Goalies
TBL
1
Oliver Bjorkstrand662
Nikita Kucherov633
Charle-Edouard D'Astous624
Jake Guentzel615
Ryan McDonagh606
Nick Paul607
J.J. Moser598
Darren Raddysh569
Brayden Point5610
Yanni Gourde5511
Emil Lilleberg5412
Anthony Cirelli5213
Mitchell Chaffee5214
Zemgus Girgensons5115
Pontus Holmberg5116
Gage Goncalves5017
Corey Perry5018
Erik Cernak50
Oliver Bjorkstrand662Nikita Kucherov633Charle-Edouard D'Astous624Jake Guentzel615Ryan McDonagh606Nick Paul607J.J. Moser598Darren Raddysh569Brayden Point5610Yanni Gourde5511Emil Lilleberg5412Anthony Cirelli5213Mitchell Chaffee5214Zemgus Girgensons5115Pontus Holmberg5116Gage Goncalves5017Corey Perry5018Erik Cernak50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 (8) | 1 (11) | 0 (3) | 1 |
| TBL | 0 (8) | 0 (5) | 3 (10) | 3 |
| BOS | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 11 | Hits | 20 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 40 | Faceoff wins | 18 |
| BOS | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.76 | Expected goals | 4.58 |
| 3.11 | 5v5 xG | 2.44 |
| 0.66 | Power-play xG | 0.28 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 22 | On goal | 23 |
| 16 | High-danger | 7 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 24 | Missed | 10 |
| 13 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.064 | xG per attempt | 0.097 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 36 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 106 attempts shown