Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 3@Tampa Bay Lightning 6
2026-04-02PIT · TBL
CF%?
40.7%·59.3%
xGF%?
33.3%·66.7%
HDCF%?
31.6%·68.4%
5v5 xGF%?
36.1%·63.9%
5v5 CF%?
41.9%·58.1%
?
TBL wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 23%Deserved to win?77% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.01 xG vs 3.54 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
PIT 3@TBL 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 3G · 0.80 ixG · 1 blk95
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 2A · 0.66 ixG · 2 gv79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.49 ixG77PIT
1
Samuel Girard772
Rickard Rakell713
Egor Chinakhov704
Bryan Rust635
Kris Letang626
Anthony Mantha587
Tommy Novak588
Justin Brazeau549
Ben Kindel5410
Connor Clifton5311
Noel Acciari5312
Erik Karlsson5113
Parker Wotherspoon5014
Evgeni Malkin4915
Sidney Crosby4916
Elmer Soderblom4817
Connor Dewar4718
Ryan Shea47
Samuel Girard772Rickard Rakell713Egor Chinakhov704Bryan Rust635Kris Letang626Anthony Mantha587Tommy Novak588Justin Brazeau549Ben Kindel5410Connor Clifton5311Noel Acciari5312Erik Karlsson5113Parker Wotherspoon5014Evgeni Malkin4915Sidney Crosby4916Elmer Soderblom4817Connor Dewar4718Ryan Shea47Goalies
TBL
1Anthony Cirelli952Jake Guentzel793Nikita Kucherov774
Yanni Gourde745
Zemgus Girgensons706
Ryan McDonagh687
Brayden Point688
Gage Goncalves679
Charle-Edouard D'Astous6110
Oliver Bjorkstrand5811
Erik Cernak5812
Mitchell Chaffee5713
J.J. Moser5614
Nick Paul5615
Pontus Holmberg5416
Corey Perry5417
Darren Raddysh5018
Emil Lilleberg46
Anthony Cirelli952Jake Guentzel793Nikita Kucherov774Yanni Gourde745Zemgus Girgensons706Ryan McDonagh687Brayden Point688Gage Goncalves679Charle-Edouard D'Astous6110Oliver Bjorkstrand5811Erik Cernak5812Mitchell Chaffee5713J.J. Moser5614Nick Paul5615Pontus Holmberg5416Corey Perry5417Darren Raddysh5018Emil Lilleberg46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 2 (11) | 0 (8) | 1 (5) | 3 |
| TBL | 1 (11) | 3 (9) | 2 (13) | 6 |
| PIT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 21 | Hits | 18 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 39 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| PIT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 6 |
| 3.07 | Expected goals | 6.14 |
| 2.42 | 5v5 xG | 4.29 |
| 0.41 | Power-play xG | 0.81 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 67 |
| 24 | On goal | 33 |
| 12 | High-danger | 26 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 12 | Missed | 15 |
| 10 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.067 | xG per attempt | 0.092 |
| 36 ft | Avg shot distance | 27 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 113 attempts shown