Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 1@Ottawa Senators 4
2026-04-02BUF · OTT
CF%?
46.0%·54.0%
xGF%?
36.1%·63.9%
HDCF%?
33.3%·66.7%
5v5 xGF%?
38.6%·61.4%
5v5 CF%?
45.9%·54.1%
?
OTT wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 47%Deserved to win?53% OTT
the game's chances, replayed · 2.15 xG vs 2.29 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 1@OTT 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRidly GreigOTT · 1G · 1A · 0.72 ixG79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDylan CozensOTT · 1G · 0.61 ixG · 1 blk73
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJordan SpenceOTT · 1A · 0.19 ixG · 3 blk72BUF
1
Bowen Byram662
Peyton Krebs643
Mattias Samuelsson624
Tage Thompson545
Alex Tuch546
Josh Dunne547
Josh Doan548
Owen Power549
Zach Benson5310
Beck Malenstyn5211
Logan Stanley5112
Jason Zucker5113
Jack Quinn5114
Zach Metsa5015
Josh Norris4816
Rasmus Dahlin4817
Ryan McLeod45
Bowen Byram662Peyton Krebs643Mattias Samuelsson624Tage Thompson545Alex Tuch546Josh Dunne547Josh Doan548Owen Power549Zach Benson5310Beck Malenstyn5211Logan Stanley5112Jason Zucker5113Jack Quinn5114Zach Metsa5015Josh Norris4816Rasmus Dahlin4817Ryan McLeod45Goalies
OTT
1Ridly Greig792Dylan Cozens733Jordan Spence724
Shane Pinto715
Lars Eller686
Brady Tkachuk677
Claude Giroux618
Tim Stützle609
Artem Zub5910
Warren Foegele5811
Fabian Zetterlund5712
Lassi Thomson5713
Nick Cousins5514
Drake Batherson5415
Jordan Greenway5316
Michael Amadio5317
Cameron Crotty5018
Nikolas Matinpalo5019
Tyler Kleven49
Ridly Greig792Dylan Cozens733Jordan Spence724Shane Pinto715Lars Eller686Brady Tkachuk677Claude Giroux618Tim Stützle609Artem Zub5910Warren Foegele5811Fabian Zetterlund5712Lassi Thomson5713Nick Cousins5514Drake Batherson5415Jordan Greenway5316Michael Amadio5317Cameron Crotty5018Nikolas Matinpalo5019Tyler Kleven49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (6) | 1 (9) | 0 (7) | 1 |
| OTT | 0 (4) | 1 (8) | 3 (12) | 4 |
| BUF | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 24 | Hits | 32 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| BUF | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 3.01 | Expected goals | 5.33 |
| 2.26 | 5v5 xG | 3.60 |
| 0.75 | Power-play xG | 0.37 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 22 | On goal | 24 |
| 9 | High-danger | 18 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 14 | Missed | 14 |
| 10 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.065 | xG per attempt | 0.099 |
| 35 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG74 of 100 attempts shown