Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Game date

Carolina Hurricanes 5@Columbus Blue Jackets 2

2026-03-31

CAR · CBJ

CF%?

59.5%·40.5%

xGF%?

60.9%·39.1%

HDCF%?

56.8%·43.2%

5v5 xGF%?

52.1%·47.9%

5v5 CF%?

58.8%·41.2%

CBJ wins ↑CAR wins ↓

CAR 64%Deserved to win?36% CBJ

the game's chances, replayed · 3.63 xG vs 2.82 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

CAR 5@CBJ 2

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-03-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikolaj EhlersCAR · 1G · 2A · 0.06 ixG90

★ 2nd star · our model’s pickKirill MarchenkoCBJ · 1G · 1A · 0.72 ixG76

★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAdam FantilliCBJ · 1G · 0.49 ixG · 2 hits74

ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

13:29

Shayne Gostisbehere from Nikolaj Ehlers, Andrei Svechnikov

16:12

Logan Stankoven from Mark Jankowski

Period 2

15:14

Kirill Marchenko from Zach Werenski, Mason Marchment

Period 3

2:07

Adam Fantilli from Mason Marchment, Kirill Marchenko

12:42

Nikolaj Ehlers from Jalen Chatfield, Jaccob Slavin

13:55

Andrei Svechnikov from Nikolaj Ehlers, Sebastian Aho

19:13

Jordan Martinook

Goals (SOG)	1	2	3	T
CAR	2 (11)	0 (11)	3 (11)	5
CBJ	0 (8)	1 (6)	1 (11)	2

CAR		CBJ
3/5	Power play	0/3
18	Hits	23
16	Blocked shots	12
5	Takeaways	4
16	Giveaways	13
37	Faceoff wins	24

CAR		CBJ
5	Goals	2
6.95	Expected goals	4.47
3.32	5v5 xG	3.05
1.81	Power-play xG	1.42
75	Shot attempts	51
33	On goal	25
21	High-danger	16
3	Rebound chances	3
26	Missed	14
16	Blocked	12
0.093	xG per attempt	0.088
35 ft	Avg shot distance	28 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG98 of 126 attempts shown