Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 4@Tampa Bay Lightning 1
2026-03-31MTL · TBL
CF%?
40.2%·59.8%
xGF%?
41.8%·58.2%
HDCF%?
25.9%·74.1%
5v5 xGF%?
40.0%·60.0%
5v5 CF%?
42.3%·57.7%
?
TBL wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 24%Deserved to win?76% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.14 xG vs 3.60 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 4@TBL 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJakub DobesMTL · 1 gv · 1 pen drawn · 36 sv99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickCole CaufieldMTL · 1G · 1A · 0.31 ixG77
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SuzukiMTL · 1G · 0.79 ixG · 1 blk77MTL
1Cole Caufield772Nick Suzuki773
Juraj Slafkovský764
Mike Matheson715
Ivan Demidov626
Josh Anderson567
Lane Hutson568
Joe Veleno549
Phillip Danault5310
Kaiden Guhle5311
Zachary Bolduc5212
Brendan Gallagher5213
Jayden Struble5114
Arber Xhekaj5015
Alex Newhook4916
Oliver Kapanen4817
Noah Dobson41
Cole Caufield772Nick Suzuki773Juraj Slafkovský764Mike Matheson715Ivan Demidov626Josh Anderson567Lane Hutson568Joe Veleno549Phillip Danault5310Kaiden Guhle5311Zachary Bolduc5212Brendan Gallagher5213Jayden Struble5114Arber Xhekaj5015Alex Newhook4916Oliver Kapanen4817Noah Dobson41Goalies
TBL
1
Ryan McDonagh692
Zemgus Girgensons693
Jake Guentzel684
Yanni Gourde625
Pontus Holmberg616
Erik Cernak617
Jake Evans588
Brandon Hagel589
Gage Goncalves5610
Scott Sabourin5511
Nick Paul5312
Brayden Point5313
Anthony Cirelli5314
Nikita Kucherov5115
Darren Raddysh5116
J.J. Moser5017
Emil Lilleberg4918
Corey Perry4919
Charle-Edouard D'Astous41
Ryan McDonagh692Zemgus Girgensons693Jake Guentzel684Yanni Gourde625Pontus Holmberg616Erik Cernak617Jake Evans588Brandon Hagel589Gage Goncalves5610Scott Sabourin5511Nick Paul5312Brayden Point5313Anthony Cirelli5314Nikita Kucherov5115Darren Raddysh5116J.J. Moser5017Emil Lilleberg4918Corey Perry4919Charle-Edouard D'Astous41Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 (9) | 1 (6) | 2 (8) | 4 |
| TBL | 1 (8) | 0 (12) | 0 (17) | 1 |
| MTL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/15 | Power play | 0/16 |
| 23 | Hits | 21 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 9 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| MTL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 3.79 | Expected goals | 5.29 |
| 2.15 | 5v5 xG | 3.23 |
| 0.58 | Power-play xG | 1.99 |
| 43 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 23 | On goal | 37 |
| 7 | High-danger | 20 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 11 | Missed | 10 |
| 9 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.088 | xG per attempt | 0.083 |
| 36 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 107 attempts shown