Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
New York Islanders 3@Buffalo Sabres 4
2026-03-31NYI · BUF
CF%?
44.4%·55.6%
xGF%?
37.0%·63.0%
HDCF%?
43.3%·56.7%
5v5 xGF%?
34.3%·65.7%
5v5 CF%?
40.0%·60.0%
?
BUF wins ↑NYI wins ↓
NYI 29%Deserved to win?71% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.47 xG vs 3.67 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
NYI 3@BUF 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBo HorvatNYI · 3A · 0.39 ixG · 1 hits83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.67 ixG83
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBowen ByramBUF · 1G · 0.92 ixG · 3 blk76NYI
1Bo Horvat832
Brayden Schenn723
Matthew Schaefer664
Calum Ritchie655
Mathew Barzal616
Anders Lee617
Marc Gatcomb568
Jean-Gabriel Pageau549
Jordan Greenway5410
Adam Pelech5411
Emil Heineman5412
Ryan Pulock5313
Ondrej Palat5314
Adam Boqvist5015
Anthony Duclair5016
Kyle MacLean4917
Casey Cizikas4318
Carson Soucy40
Bo Horvat832Brayden Schenn723Matthew Schaefer664Calum Ritchie655Mathew Barzal616Anders Lee617Marc Gatcomb568Jean-Gabriel Pageau549Jordan Greenway5410Adam Pelech5411Emil Heineman5412Ryan Pulock5313Ondrej Palat5314Adam Boqvist5015Anthony Duclair5016Kyle MacLean4917Casey Cizikas4318Carson Soucy40Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 0 (6) | 1 (9) | 2 (13) | 3 |
| BUF | 1 (12) | 0 (7) | 3 (14) | 4 |
| NYI | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | Power play | 2/6 |
| 26 | Hits | 25 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 1 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| NYI | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 3.84 | Expected goals | 6.54 |
| 2.00 | 5v5 xG | 3.84 |
| 1.57 | Power-play xG | 0.94 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 65 |
| 28 | On goal | 33 |
| 13 | High-danger | 17 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 9 | Missed | 21 |
| 15 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.074 | xG per attempt | 0.101 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG91 of 117 attempts shown