Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Boston Bruins 4@Buffalo Sabres 3
BOS · BUF
CF%?
50.4%·49.6%
xGF%?
42.6%·57.4%
HDCF%?
40.6%·59.4%
5v5 xGF%?
51.5%·48.5%
5v5 CF%?
55.7%·44.3%
?
BUF wins ↑BOS wins ↓
BOS 41%Deserved to win?59% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.26 xG vs 2.72 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelBOS 4@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-25 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDavid PastrnakBOS · 1G · 2A · 0.42 ixG83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJason ZuckerBUF · 2G · 0.65 ixG · 1 gv81
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 2A · 0.21 ixG · 1 tk78BOS
1
David Pastrnak832
Pavel Zacha763
Viktor Arvidsson724
Casey Mittelstadt695
Nikita Zadorov666
Jonathan Aspirot657
Charlie McAvoy648
Marat Khusnutdinov609
Andrew Peeke5810
Sean Kuraly5811
Fraser Minten5612
Elias Lindholm5513
Tanner Jeannot5414
Lukas Reichel5415
Mark Kastelic5416
Hampus Lindholm5117
Morgan Geekie5018
Mason Lohrei47
David Pastrnak832
Pavel Zacha763
Viktor Arvidsson724
Casey Mittelstadt695
Nikita Zadorov666
Jonathan Aspirot657
Charlie McAvoy648
Marat Khusnutdinov609
Andrew Peeke5810
Sean Kuraly5811
Fraser Minten5612
Elias Lindholm5513
Tanner Jeannot5414
Lukas Reichel5415
Mark Kastelic5416
Hampus Lindholm5117
Morgan Geekie5018
Mason Lohrei47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 1 (11) | 1 (13) | 1 (6) | 1 (1) | 4 |
| BUF | 1 (7) | 0 (12) | 2 (6) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| BOS | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 2/5 |
| 28 | Hits | 21 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 20 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| BOS | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.31 | Expected goals | 4.46 |
| 3.07 | 5v5 xG | 2.89 |
| 0.10 | Power-play xG | 1.15 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 31 | On goal | 25 |
| 13 | High-danger | 19 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 14 | Missed | 13 |
| 14 | Blocked | 20 |
| 0.056 | xG per attempt | 0.077 |
| 38 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG83 of 117 attempts shown

















