Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 3@Calgary Flames 4
2026-03-22TBL · CGY
CF%?
56.1%·43.9%
xGF%?
61.7%·38.3%
HDCF%?
67.7%·32.3%
5v5 xGF%?
62.0%·38.0%
5v5 CF%?
55.5%·44.5%
?
CGY wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 64%Deserved to win?36% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 3.03 xG vs 2.30 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 3@CGY 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-22 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDarren RaddyshTBL · 1G · 0.20 ixG · 1 tk72
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 0.46 ixG · 1 tk · 1 hits68
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMikael BacklundCGY · 1G · 0.16 ixG · 1 blk68TBL
1Darren Raddysh722Anthony Cirelli683
Pontus Holmberg684
Nikita Kucherov675
Yanni Gourde636
Gage Goncalves627
J.J. Moser608
Brayden Point609
Jake Guentzel6010
Zemgus Girgensons5511
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5512
Brandon Hagel5413
Erik Cernak5414
Ryan McDonagh5415
Emil Lilleberg5116
Nick Paul5117
Oliver Bjorkstrand5118
Corey Perry46
Darren Raddysh722Anthony Cirelli683Pontus Holmberg684Nikita Kucherov675Yanni Gourde636Gage Goncalves627J.J. Moser608Brayden Point609Jake Guentzel6010Zemgus Girgensons5511Charle-Edouard D'Astous5512Brandon Hagel5413Erik Cernak5414Ryan McDonagh5415Emil Lilleberg5116Nick Paul5117Oliver Bjorkstrand5118Corey Perry46Goalies
CGY
1Mikael Backlund682
Morgan Frost673
Matt Coronato664
Zach Whitecloud645
Matvei Gridin626
Ryan Strome607
Blake Coleman588
Joel Hanley589
Hunter Brzustewicz5810
Yegor Sharangovich5611
Olli Maatta5512
Adam Klapka5413
Victor Olofsson5314
Kevin Bahl5315
Martin Pospisil5216
Joel Farabee4917
Zayne Parekh4818
Tyson Gross47
Mikael Backlund682Morgan Frost673Matt Coronato664Zach Whitecloud645Matvei Gridin626Ryan Strome607Blake Coleman588Joel Hanley589Hunter Brzustewicz5810Yegor Sharangovich5611Olli Maatta5512Adam Klapka5413Victor Olofsson5314Kevin Bahl5315Martin Pospisil5216Joel Farabee4917Zayne Parekh4818Tyson Gross47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (10) | 1 (15) | 1 (10) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| CGY | 2 (11) | 1 (11) | 0 (6) | 1 (1) | 4 |
| TBL | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/1 | Power play | 0/0 |
| 16 | Hits | 23 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| TBL | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.53 | Expected goals | 2.81 |
| 4.31 | 5v5 xG | 2.64 |
| 0.22 | Power-play xG | 0.00 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 35 | On goal | 29 |
| 21 | High-danger | 10 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 13 | Missed | 17 |
| 16 | Blocked | 4 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.056 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG94 of 114 attempts shown