HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Pittsburgh Penguins 7@Colorado Avalanche 2

2026-03-16
PIT · COL

CF%?

37.0%·63.0%

xGF%?

34.8%·65.2%

HDCF%?

39.5%·60.5%

5v5 xGF%?

35.0%·65.0%

5v5 CF%?

37.9%·62.1%

?
COL wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 24%Deserved to win?76% COL

the game's chances, replayed · 2.08 xG vs 3.51 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

PIT 7@COL 2

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-03-16 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickEvgeni MalkinPIT · 2G · 1A · 0.26 ixG87★ 2nd star · our model’s pickErik KarlssonPIT · 1G · 2A · 0.08 ixG82★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNoel AcciariPIT · 1G · 1A · 0.31 ixG82

PIT

1Evgeni Malkin872Erik Karlsson823Noel Acciari824Elmer Soderblom775Connor Dewar726Bryan Rust697Rickard Rakell658Egor Chinakhov629Anthony Mantha5710Connor Clifton5511Ryan Shea5512Tommy Novak5413Justin Brazeau5114Ilya Solovyov5015Parker Wotherspoon4916Ville Koivunen4717Kris Letang4718Ben Kindel46

Goalies

1Arturs Silovs63

COL

1Cale Makar722Nathan MacKinnon703Brent Burns704Brock Nelson665Devon Toews656Gavin Brindley647Martin Necas628Josh Manson609Nazem Kadri5910Nicolas Roy5811Sam Malinski5412Valeri Nichushkin5313Jack Drury5314Brett Kulak5215Parker Kelly5116Joel Kiviranta5117Nick Blankenburg5118Zakhar Bardakov49

Goalies

1Scott Wedgewood402Mackenzie Blackwood40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

3:01PIT

Evgeni Malkin from Bryan Rust, Noel Acciari

4:08COL

Nathan MacKinnon from Martin Necas, Cale Makar

4:23PIT

Anthony Mantha from Erik Karlsson

13:00PIT

Evgeni Malkin from Egor Chinakhov, Parker Wotherspoon

13:43PIT

Elmer Soderblom from Connor Dewar, Erik Karlsson

14:21COL

Brent Burns from Gavin Brindley, Josh Manson

Period 2

10:36PIT

Erik Karlsson from Ryan Shea

16:20PIT

Bryan Rust from Evgeni Malkin, Rickard Rakell

PP

Period 3

9:06PIT

Noel Acciari from Elmer Soderblom, Connor Dewar

Goals (SOG)123T
PIT4 (7)2 (8)1 (5)7
COL2 (17)0 (4)0 (6)2
PITCOL
1/5Power play0/6
19Hits11
12Blocked shots22
5Takeaways4
18Giveaways16
28Faceoff wins29
PITCOL
7Goals2
3.01Expected goals5.65
2.345v5 xG4.33
0.67Power-play xG1.32
40Shot attempts68
20On goal27
15High-danger23
2Rebound chances2
8Missed19
12Blocked22
0.075xG per attempt0.083
31 ftAvg shot distance31 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

PIT attackingCOL attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG74 of 108 attempts shown