Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Tampa Bay Lightning 2
2026-03-14CAR · TBL
CF%?
63.8%·36.2%
xGF%?
58.9%·41.1%
HDCF%?
52.6%·47.4%
5v5 xGF%?
57.7%·42.3%
5v5 CF%?
64.3%·35.7%
?
TBL wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 69%Deserved to win?31% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.49 xG vs 2.40 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
CAR 4@TBL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-14 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAndrei SvechnikovCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.51 ixG79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.21 ixG75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNikolaj EhlersCAR · 1A · 0.25 ixG · on-ice +1.72 xG71CAR
1Andrei Svechnikov792Sebastian Aho753Nikolaj Ehlers714
Jordan Martinook705
Logan Stankoven686
K'Andre Miller687
Taylor Hall688
Jordan Staal649
Jaccob Slavin6310
Sean Walker6211
Mike Reilly6012
Jalen Chatfield5613
Alexander Nikishin5514
Mark Jankowski5515
William Carrier5416
Jackson Blake5317
Seth Jarvis5018
Eric Robinson49
Andrei Svechnikov792Sebastian Aho753Nikolaj Ehlers714Jordan Martinook705Logan Stankoven686K'Andre Miller687Taylor Hall688Jordan Staal649Jaccob Slavin6310Sean Walker6211Mike Reilly6012Jalen Chatfield5613Alexander Nikishin5514Mark Jankowski5515William Carrier5416Jackson Blake5317Seth Jarvis5018Eric Robinson49Goalies
TBL
1
Charle-Edouard D'Astous662
Yanni Gourde643
Nikita Kucherov614
Brayden Point605
Zemgus Girgensons596
Victor Hedman597
Ryan McDonagh588
Pontus Holmberg579
Oliver Bjorkstrand5610
Brandon Hagel5311
Gage Goncalves5312
J.J. Moser5313
Nick Paul5214
Anthony Cirelli5115
Darren Raddysh5116
Corey Perry4817
Erik Cernak4818
Jake Guentzel47
Charle-Edouard D'Astous662Yanni Gourde643Nikita Kucherov614Brayden Point605Zemgus Girgensons596Victor Hedman597Ryan McDonagh588Pontus Holmberg579Oliver Bjorkstrand5610Brandon Hagel5311Gage Goncalves5312J.J. Moser5313Nick Paul5214Anthony Cirelli5115Darren Raddysh5116Corey Perry4817Erik Cernak4818Jake Guentzel47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 2 (13) | 0 (11) | 2 (11) | 4 |
| TBL | 0 (10) | 2 (7) | 0 (2) | 2 |
| CAR | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 27 | Hits | 26 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 9 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 22 | Faceoff wins | 19 |
| CAR | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 5.53 | Expected goals | 3.87 |
| 3.82 | 5v5 xG | 2.79 |
| 0.39 | Power-play xG | 1.07 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 38 |
| 35 | On goal | 19 |
| 20 | High-danger | 18 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 17 | Missed | 8 |
| 15 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.102 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 24 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 105 attempts shown