Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Detroit Red Wings 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2026-03-12DET · TBL
CF%?
43.8%·56.3%
xGF%?
43.0%·57.0%
HDCF%?
45.9%·54.1%
5v5 xGF%?
45.8%·54.2%
5v5 CF%?
45.1%·54.9%
?
TBL wins ↑DET wins ↓
DET 39%Deserved to win?61% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.65 xG vs 3.24 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
DET 1@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-12 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickGage GoncalvesTBL · 2G · 0.73 ixG · 3 blk89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 2G · 0.76 ixG · 1 hits82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 24 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.6177DET
1
J.T. Compher742
Patrick Kane713
Alex DeBrincat674
Moritz Seider615
Simon Edvinsson606
Justin Faulk587
Sheldon Dries588
Dominik Shine569
Lucas Raymond5410
Emmitt Finnie5311
James van Riemsdyk5112
Albert Johansson5113
Ben Chiarot5114
Michael Rasmussen5115
Marco Kasper4916
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård4517
Mason Appleton45
J.T. Compher742Patrick Kane713Alex DeBrincat674Moritz Seider615Simon Edvinsson606Justin Faulk587Sheldon Dries588Dominik Shine569Lucas Raymond5410Emmitt Finnie5311James van Riemsdyk5112Albert Johansson5113Ben Chiarot5114Michael Rasmussen5115Marco Kasper4916Michael Brandsegg-Nygård4517Mason Appleton45Goalies
TBL
1Gage Goncalves892Jake Guentzel823
Brayden Point734
Nikita Kucherov685
Anthony Cirelli646
Charle-Edouard D'Astous637
Oliver Bjorkstrand618
Declan Carlile609
Yanni Gourde5810
Corey Perry5711
Pontus Holmberg5412
Brandon Hagel5413
Ryan McDonagh5314
Darren Raddysh5215
Scott Sabourin5216
Zemgus Girgensons5017
J.J. Moser4718
Jacob Bernard-Docker4619
Victor Hedman44
Gage Goncalves892Jake Guentzel823Brayden Point734Nikita Kucherov685Anthony Cirelli646Charle-Edouard D'Astous637Oliver Bjorkstrand618Declan Carlile609Yanni Gourde5810Corey Perry5711Pontus Holmberg5412Brandon Hagel5413Ryan McDonagh5314Darren Raddysh5215Scott Sabourin5216Zemgus Girgensons5017J.J. Moser4718Jacob Bernard-Docker4619Victor Hedman44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 (5) | 0 (13) | 1 (7) | 1 |
| TBL | 0 (9) | 1 (10) | 3 (10) | 4 |
| DET | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/1 | Power play | 1/1 |
| 21 | Hits | 22 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 23 |
| 10 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 21 | Faceoff wins | 21 |
| DET | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.18 | Expected goals | 5.54 |
| 4.08 | 5v5 xG | 4.83 |
| 0.10 | Power-play xG | 0.33 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 72 |
| 25 | On goal | 29 |
| 17 | High-danger | 20 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 17 | Missed | 20 |
| 14 | Blocked | 23 |
| 0.075 | xG per attempt | 0.077 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG91 of 128 attempts shown